Football · Argentina Torneo A · 11/10, 20:30

Prediction: Club Atlético El Linqueño vs CA Douglas Haig

Team pages: Club Atlético El Linqueño · CA Douglas Haig

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Club Atlético El Linqueño0.99

CA Douglas Haig0.94

1X2

35% 32% 32%

Club Atlético El Linqueño Draw CA Douglas Haig

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético El Linqueño 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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CA Douglas Haig 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Club Atlético El Linqueño 1–1–4 CA Douglas Haig (6 last)

Club Atlético El Linqueño2-0CA Douglas Haig
CA Douglas Haig1-0Club Atlético El Linqueño
CA Douglas Haig1-0Club Atlético El Linqueño
Club Atlético El Linqueño2-3CA Douglas Haig
Club Atlético El Linqueño1-1CA Douglas Haig
Club Atlético El Linqueño0-1CA Douglas Haig

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1546 · CA Douglas Haig 1518

	Club Atlético El Linqueño	Draw	CA Douglas Haig
Our model	34%	34%	32%
Market	36%	31%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Douglas Haig: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético El Linqueño	CA Douglas Haig
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.88

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:32 +55’	2.50	2.88	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1–1–4 CA Douglas Haig

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
12/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Atlético El Linqueño
01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Atlético El Linqueño
30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	2-3 HT 1-1	CA Douglas Haig
08/09/24 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	1-1 HT 0-1	CA Douglas Haig
02/06/24 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Douglas Haig

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Unidos	8	4	3	1	14	7	15
2	Gimnasia y Esgrima	8	4	2	2	9	2	14
3	Club Atlético El Linqueño	8	3	4	1	8	4	13
4	Sportivo Las Parejas	8	3	3	2	8	3	12
5	Defensores Puerto Vilelas	8	3	3	2	14	11	12
6	Independiente Chivilcoy	8	3	3	2	8	5	12
7	Escobar FC	8	3	2	3	7	12	11
8	Sarmiento de Resistencia	8	2	0	6	5	16	6
9	Tucuman Central	8	0	2	6	8	21	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético El Linqueño

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/09	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
30/08	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
23/08	Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
13/08	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
08/08	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
02/08	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
12/07	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W

CA Douglas Haig

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
13/09	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
30/08	Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
23/08	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
16/08	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-1	9	6	W
12/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
08/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-3	1-4	9	6	L
02/08	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
26/07	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
11/07	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs CA Douglas Haig?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético El Linqueño win (35%). Probabilities: Club Atlético El Linqueño 35%, draw 32%, CA Douglas Haig 32%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs CA Douglas Haig?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.99 · CA Douglas Haig 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs CA Douglas Haig?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.