Football · Argentina Torneo A · 11/10, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
Team pages: Sportivo Las Parejas · Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
Sportivo Las Parejas1.2
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.51
1X2
Sportivo Las Parejas
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Las Parejas
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano VR
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Las Parejas
2–2–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
(6 last)
- Sportivo Las Parejas1-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR2-0Sportivo Las Parejas
- Sportivo Las Parejas2-3Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-2Sportivo Las Parejas
- Sportivo Las Parejas0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Sportivo Las Parejas2-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Las Parejas 1501 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1523
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Market | 55% | 28% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Las Parejas | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Las Parejas 2–2–2 Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 24/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Las Parejas |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Las Parejas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Escobar FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Las Parejas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 12/08 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Las Parejas win (54%). Probabilities: Sportivo Las Parejas 54%, draw 30%, Defensores de Belgrano VR 16%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Sportivo Las Parejas 1.2 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.51), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.