Football · Algeria Division 2 · 09/10, 16:00

Prediction: JSM Tiaret vs ASM Oran

Team pages: JSM Tiaret · ASM Oran

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

JSM Tiaret1.32

ASM Oran0.83

1X2

47% 31% 22%

JSM Tiaret Draw ASM Oran

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

JSM Tiaret 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLLLDL

ASM Oran 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

JSM Tiaret 2–2–2 ASM Oran (6 last)

ASM Oran1-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret2-1ASM Oran
ASM Oran0-0JSM Tiaret
JSM Tiaret1-0ASM Oran
JSM Tiaret1-1ASM Oran
ASM Oran4-2JSM Tiaret

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JSM Tiaret 1443 · ASM Oran 1522

	JSM Tiaret	Draw	ASM Oran
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	47%	31%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASM Oran (rating 1443 vs 1522).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JSM Tiaret	ASM Oran
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X2.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +6’	1.91	2.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JSM Tiaret 2–2–2 ASM Oran

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	1-0 HT 0-0	JSM Tiaret
25/10/25 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	2-1 HT 1-1	ASM Oran
27/02/25 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-0 HT 0-0	JSM Tiaret
22/10/24 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-0 HT 1-0	ASM Oran
18/05/24 Algeria Division 2	JSM Tiaret	1-1	ASM Oran
16/01/24 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	4-2 HT 3-1	JSM Tiaret

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RC Kouba	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	USM El Harrach	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
3	USM Blida	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	MC Saida	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	GC Mascara	3	1	2	0	4	1	5
6	ES Mostaganem	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
7	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
8	WA Mostaganem	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
9	ESM Kolea	3	2	0	1	4	3	3
10	ASM Oran	3	1	0	2	3	3	3
11	NA Hussein Dey	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
11	WA Tlemcen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
13	MC El Bayadh	3	0	1	2	0	2	1
14	JSM Tiaret	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
15	JRB Taghit	3	0	0	3	0	6	0
15	RC Arba	2	0	0	2	0	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JSM Tiaret	ASM Oran
WA Mostaganem	1-3 L	3-1 W
USM El Harrach	1-1 D	0-1 L
WA Tlemcen	1-2 L	1-0 W
CRB Adrar	4-1 W	4-1 W
RC Kouba	1-1 D	0-1 L
MC Saida	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JSM Tiaret (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JSM Tiaret

LDLDWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
26/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
19/09	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/05	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-3	7	2	L
01/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/04	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
18/04	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
09/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
04/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
28/03	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

ASM Oran

WWWWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
26/09	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
19/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	3-0	4-1	3	1	W
01/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
25/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
18/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	0	1	W
03/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	2	9	W
27/03	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JSM Tiaret vs ASM Oran?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JSM Tiaret win (47%). Probabilities: JSM Tiaret 47%, draw 31%, ASM Oran 22%.

How many goals are expected in JSM Tiaret vs ASM Oran?

The model expects 2.15 goals (JSM Tiaret 1.32 · ASM Oran 0.83), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JSM Tiaret vs ASM Oran?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.