Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 10/10, 00:00

Prediction: Oceanía FC vs CD Novillos Neza

Team pages: Oceanía FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Oceanía FC2.43
CD Novillos Neza1.26
1X2
62% 20% 18%
Oceanía FC Draw CD Novillos Neza
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Oceanía FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWLDLLWL
CD Novillos Neza 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLLWLW
Head-to-head
Oceanía FC 2–2 CD Novillos Neza (4 last)
  • CD Novillos Neza0-3Oceanía FC
  • Oceanía FC2-0CD Novillos Neza
  • Oceanía FC0-1CD Novillos Neza
  • CD Novillos Neza2-1Oceanía FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oceanía FC 1488 · CD Novillos Neza 1489
Oceanía FCDrawCD Novillos Neza
Our model62%20%18%
Market63%20%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oceanía FCCD Novillos Neza
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.61.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 62.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oceanía FC 2–0–2 CD Novillos Neza

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/01/24
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Novillos Neza0-3
HT 0-1
Oceanía FC
10/09/23
Mexico Liga TDP
Oceanía FC2-0
HT 1-0
CD Novillos Neza
19/02/23
Mexico Liga TDP
Oceanía FC0-1
HT 0-0
CD Novillos Neza
23/09/22
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Novillos Neza2-1
HT 2-0
Oceanía FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oceanía FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-2 42 L
18/09 Aztecas AMF
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-0 22 W
27/03 FormaFutIntegral AC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-3 35 L
13/03 Alamos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 65 L
06/03 Club Atlético San Juan de Aragón II
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 2-2 82 D
27/02 Atletico Mexicano F.E.
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-2 83 L
18/02 CH Fútbol Club
Mexico Liga TDP
3-1 7-1 61 W
06/02 Ecatepec FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 4-3 45 W
31/01 Club Unión FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-1 103 W
23/01 Promodep Central AC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 4-1 91 W

CD Novillos Neza

WLLWDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/03 FC San José del Arenal
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 3-0 47 W
13/03 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-2 34 L
26/02 Halcones Zuñiga SC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 3-1 123 W
20/02 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 103 L
13/02 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 29 L
30/01 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 44 D
23/01 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-0 23 W
05/12 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-3 50 L
28/11 Santiago Tulantepec
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 70 L
21/11 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 2-1 92 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oceanía FC vs CD Novillos Neza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oceanía FC win (62%). Probabilities: Oceanía FC 62%, draw 20%, CD Novillos Neza 18%.

How many goals are expected in Oceanía FC vs CD Novillos Neza?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Oceanía FC 2.43 · CD Novillos Neza 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Oceanía FC vs CD Novillos Neza?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.