Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 10/10, 03:45

Prediction: Real San Cosme vs Fut-Car

Team pages: Fut-Car

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Real San Cosme1.54

Fut-Car1.5

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Real San Cosme Draw Fut-Car

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real San Cosme 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLW

Fut-Car 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real San Cosme 1428 · Fut-Car 1547

	Real San Cosme	Draw	Fut-Car
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fut-Car (rating 1428 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real San Cosme	Fut-Car
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.6	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.2	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +14’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real San Cosme

LLWLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CF Cadereyta Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
19/09	Correcaminos III Mexico Liga TDP	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
14/03	Gavilanes FC Matamoros II Mexico Liga TDP	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
28/02	CF Cadereyta Mexico Liga TDP	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
21/02	Club Calor II Mexico Liga TDP	0-1	2-3	4	2	L
14/02	Real Apodaca FC II Mexico Liga TDP	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
16/01	Correcaminos III Mexico Liga TDP	0-3	2-4	1	2	L
23/11	CF Nuevo Leon Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/11	Halcones de Saltillo Mexico Liga TDP	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
25/10	CF Cadereyta Mexico Liga TDP	0-2	0-6	1	2	L

Fut-Car

WWWWWDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Correcaminos III Mexico Liga TDP	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
07/05	Tepatitlan FC II Mexico Liga TDP	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
03/05	Club Gallos Viejos Mexico Liga TDP	2-1	2-1	8	2	W
26/04	CD Queretaro 3D Mexico Liga TDP	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
21/02	Pabellón FC Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/01	Cefor Promotora San Luis Mexico Liga TDP	4-1	4-2	4	3	W
24/01	Potosinos Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
17/01	Santa Ana del Conde Mexico Liga TDP	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
22/11	Magos Union Deportiva Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/11	Atlético Leonés Mexico Liga TDP	1-0	2-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real San Cosme vs Fut-Car?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real San Cosme win (38%). Probabilities: Real San Cosme 38%, draw 26%, Fut-Car 36%.

How many goals are expected in Real San Cosme vs Fut-Car?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Real San Cosme 1.54 · Fut-Car 1.5), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real San Cosme vs Fut-Car?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.