Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Varnsdorf vs Hradec Kralove B

Team pages: Varnsdorf · Hradec Kralove B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Varnsdorf1.86

Hradec Kralove B1.15

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Varnsdorf Draw Hradec Kralove B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Varnsdorf 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDLDD

Hradec Kralove B 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDDLWL

Head-to-head

Varnsdorf 2–1 Hradec Kralove B (3 last)

Varnsdorf5-0Hradec Kralove B
Hradec Kralove B3-2Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf4-0Hradec Kralove B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varnsdorf 1486 · Hradec Kralove B 1459

	Varnsdorf	Draw	Hradec Kralove B
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Varnsdorf: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Varnsdorf	Hradec Kralove B
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.24 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:02 +5’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +52’	1.79	3.74	3.57
18:26 +165’	1.62▼	3.94▲	4.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Varnsdorf 2–0–1 Hradec Kralove B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	5-0 HT 4-0	Hradec Kralove B
09/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Hradec Kralove B	3-2 HT 1-2	Varnsdorf
15/01/25 Czechia Tipsport Liga	Varnsdorf	4-0 HT 3-0	Hradec Kralove B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Varnsdorf	Hradec Kralove B
Mladá Boleslav B	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Jablonec B	0-2 L	2-1 W
SK Sokol Zapy	4-4 D	1-2 L
Velke Hamry	3-1 W	0-0 D
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	2-1 W	0-0 D
MFK Chrudim	1-3 L	0-0 D
Benatky Nad Jizerou	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Varnsdorf (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varnsdorf

LWWLWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
04/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	6	D
20/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	2	D
06/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
29/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
07/06	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	4	1	W
30/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L

Hradec Kralove B

LWDDLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
20/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
23/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	9	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varnsdorf vs Hradec Kralove B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varnsdorf win (53%). Probabilities: Varnsdorf 53%, draw 24%, Hradec Kralove B 23%.

How many goals are expected in Varnsdorf vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Varnsdorf 1.86 · Hradec Kralove B 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Varnsdorf vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.