Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Polanka vs CSK Uhersky Brod

Team pages: Polanka · CSK Uhersky Brod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Polanka1.15

CSK Uhersky Brod1.62

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Polanka Draw CSK Uhersky Brod

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Polanka 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLLDWL

CSK Uhersky Brod 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLLWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polanka 1462 · CSK Uhersky Brod 1468

	Polanka	Draw	CSK Uhersky Brod
Our model	26%	27%	47%
Market	28%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polanka	CSK Uhersky Brod
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.3	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.80

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.95 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +4’	3.25	3.80	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +46’	3.19	3.56	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polanka	CSK Uhersky Brod
SK Unicov	1-3 L	3-4 L
Frydek Mistek	1-0 W	1-3 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Vsetin	0-3 L	2-1 W
FC Brno II	1-3 L	1-2 L
SK Hranice	0-1 L	1-0 W
MFK Karvina B	1-2 L	0-2 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CSK Uhersky Brod (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polanka

LDLLDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
23/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
09/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	4	L

CSK Uhersky Brod

LWLWDDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	11	7	D
26/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
20/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-3	3-4	3	6	L
12/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
05/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
09/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polanka vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSK Uhersky Brod win (48%). Probabilities: Polanka 27%, draw 25%, CSK Uhersky Brod 48%.

How many goals are expected in Polanka vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Polanka 1.15 · CSK Uhersky Brod 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polanka vs CSK Uhersky Brod?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.