Football · Thailand Division 3 · 03/10, 12:00

Prediction: Chiangrai City FC vs Maejo United

Team pages: Maejo United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Chiangrai City FC0.94
Maejo United1.64
1X2
21% 26% 53%
Chiangrai City FC Draw Maejo United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chiangrai City FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLWLWL
Maejo United 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWDWWW
Head-to-head
Chiangrai City FC 1–1–3 Maejo United (5 last)
  • Chiangrai City FC1-1Maejo United
  • Chiangrai City FC0-2Maejo United
  • Chiangrai City FC1-2Maejo United
  • Chiangrai City FC1-0Maejo United
  • Maejo United1-0Chiangrai City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiangrai City FC 1456 · Maejo United 1564
Chiangrai City FCDrawMaejo United
Our model20%27%53%
Market21%25%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maejo United (rating 1456 vs 1564).
  • H2H favours Maejo United: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chiangrai City FCMaejo United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.91.4 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.33 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 04.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiangrai City FC 1–1–3 Maejo United

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai City FC1-1
HT 1-0
Maejo United
23/02/25
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai City FC0-2
HT 0-2
Maejo United
19/11/23
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai City FC1-2
HT 0-1
Maejo United
15/10/22
Thailand Division 3
Chiangrai City FC1-0
HT 0-0
Maejo United
26/01/22
Thailand Division 3
Maejo United1-0
HT 0-0
Chiangrai City FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChiangrai City FCMaejo United
Chiangrai TSC FC 4-3 W 3-0 W
Kamphaeng Phet 0-1 L 3-0 W
Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City 2-1 W 0-0 D
Chattrakan City FC 1-3 L 2-0 W
Chiangmai FC 0-3 L 1-0 W
Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd 1-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maejo United (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiangrai City FC

WDDLLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Phichit United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-3 44 L
28/02 Chiangrai TSC FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 4-3 50 W
14/02 Kamphaeng Phet
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 103 L
11/02 Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 26 W
25/01 Chattrakan City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-3 33 L
10/01 Chiangmai FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 50 L
16/11 Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-3 34 L
09/11 Chiangrai TSC FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 52 D
01/11 Maejo United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 16 D
19/10 Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 52 W

Maejo United

DWDDWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Kamphaeng Phet
Thailand Division 3
1-0 3-0 71 W
20/09 Khelang United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 59 W
07/03 Kamphaeng Phet
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-1 46 W
15/02 Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 75 D
11/02 Chiangmai FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 210 W
24/01 Chiangrai TSC FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 3-0 73 W
18/01 Uttaradit FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 34 D
11/01 Northern Nakhon Mae Sot Utd
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 26 D
08/11 Chattrakan City FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-0 83 W
01/11 Chiangrai City FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 86 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiangrai City FC vs Maejo United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maejo United win (53%). Probabilities: Chiangrai City FC 21%, draw 26%, Maejo United 53%.

How many goals are expected in Chiangrai City FC vs Maejo United?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Chiangrai City FC 0.94 · Maejo United 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chiangrai City FC vs Maejo United?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.