Football · Thailand Division 3 · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Chachoengsao FC vs Royal Navy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Chachoengsao FC0.88

Royal Navy1.09

1X2

29% 30% 40%

Chachoengsao FC Draw Royal Navy

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Chachoengsao FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLWLL

Royal Navy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWWWLL

Head-to-head

Chachoengsao FC 2–1–2 Royal Navy (5 last)

Royal Navy0-0Chachoengsao FC
Chachoengsao FC0-3Royal Navy
Chachoengsao FC2-1Royal Navy
Royal Navy3-2Chachoengsao FC
Chachoengsao FC4-1Royal Navy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chachoengsao FC 1488 · Royal Navy 1514

	Chachoengsao FC	Draw	Royal Navy
Our model	28%	34%	39%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chachoengsao FC	Royal Navy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.7	1.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +2’	2.90	3.25	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chachoengsao FC 2–1–2 Royal Navy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/25 Thailand Division 3	Royal Navy	0-0 HT 0-0	Chachoengsao FC
12/10/24 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Royal Navy
23/12/23 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Royal Navy
01/10/23 Thailand Division 3	Royal Navy	3-2 HT 1-0	Chachoengsao FC
25/09/22 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	4-1 HT 1-0	Royal Navy

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chachoengsao FC	Royal Navy
Marines FC Sattahip	0-1 L	3-0 W
Padriew City	1-0 W	1-1 D
Customs United	0-1 L	1-1 D
ACDC FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Pluak Daeng United	1-1 D	2-0 W
Saimit Kabin United	1-1 D	1-0 W
BFB Pattaya City	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Navy (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chachoengsao FC

WDLDDWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/03	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
28/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
11/02	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
01/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/01	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
18/01	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
11/01	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/11	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
15/11	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
08/11	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

Royal Navy

DDWDDWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
14/03	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	5	15	L
22/02	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
14/02	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
10/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
01/02	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
25/01	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
23/11	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/11	Customs United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
02/11	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chachoengsao FC vs Royal Navy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Royal Navy win (40%). Probabilities: Chachoengsao FC 29%, draw 30%, Royal Navy 40%.

How many goals are expected in Chachoengsao FC vs Royal Navy?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Chachoengsao FC 0.88 · Royal Navy 1.09), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chachoengsao FC vs Royal Navy?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.