Football · Thailand Division 3 · 03/10, 10:30

Prediction: Royal Thai Army vs Raj Pracha

Team pages: Raj Pracha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Royal Thai Army1.34

Raj Pracha1.08

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Royal Thai Army Draw Raj Pracha

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Royal Thai Army 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDDWLLDD

Raj Pracha 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Royal Thai Army 2–1–3 Raj Pracha (6 last)

Royal Thai Army2-0Raj Pracha
Raj Pracha1-1Royal Thai Army
Raj Pracha1-0Royal Thai Army
Royal Thai Army0-2Raj Pracha
Royal Thai Army1-2Raj Pracha
Raj Pracha0-2Royal Thai Army

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Royal Thai Army 1507 · Raj Pracha 1439

	Royal Thai Army	Draw	Raj Pracha
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Royal Thai Army (rating 1507 vs 1439).
H2H favours Raj Pracha: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Royal Thai Army	Raj Pracha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +5’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Thai Army 2–1–3 Raj Pracha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Army	2-0 HT 2-0	Raj Pracha
25/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Raj Pracha	1-1 HT 0-1	Royal Thai Army
18/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Raj Pracha	1-0 HT 1-0	Royal Thai Army
22/09/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Army	0-2 HT 0-1	Raj Pracha
17/08/19 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Army	1-2 HT 0-1	Raj Pracha
11/05/19 Thailand Division 3	Raj Pracha	0-2 HT 0-2	Royal Thai Army

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Royal Thai Army	Raj Pracha
Samut Songkhram City	0-0 D	4-2 W
Nonthaburi United	1-2 L	2-1 W
Thonburi United FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Assumption United	0-0 D	0-2 L
Hua Hin City	3-2 W	0-0 D
Samut Sakhon	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Thai Army (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Royal Thai Army

WWDDDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
22/03	VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/03	Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
28/02	Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
15/02	Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/02	Assumption United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
31/01	Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
24/01	Thap Luang United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
18/01	Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
10/01	Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3	0-1	3-1	2	6	W

Raj Pracha

LWLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
20/09	Samutsakhon City Thailand Division 3	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
22/03	Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
15/03	Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
07/03	Suphanburi FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
01/03	Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
22/02	Assumption United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
15/02	Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3	0-2	0-2	13	4	L
11/02	Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
18/01	Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3	0-4	0-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royal Thai Army vs Raj Pracha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Thai Army win (42%). Probabilities: Royal Thai Army 42%, draw 29%, Raj Pracha 29%.

How many goals are expected in Royal Thai Army vs Raj Pracha?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Royal Thai Army 1.34 · Raj Pracha 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Royal Thai Army vs Raj Pracha?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.