Football · Belarus Premier League · 14/10, 18:00
Prediction: BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno
Team pages: BATE Borisov · Neman Grodno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
BATE Borisov0.99
Neman Grodno1.01
1X2
BATE Borisov
Draw
Neman Grodno
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
BATE Borisov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Neman Grodno
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BATE Borisov
2–1–3
Neman Grodno
(6 last)
- Neman Grodno0-0BATE Borisov
- Neman Grodno0-2BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-5Neman Grodno
- BATE Borisov0-3Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno1-0BATE Borisov
- Neman Grodno0-2BATE Borisov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neman Grodno (rating 1488 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Neman Grodno: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BATE Borisov | Neman Grodno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BATE Borisov 2–1–3 Neman Grodno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 02/11/25 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 0-2 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 14/06/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Neman Grodno |
| 02/11/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Neman Grodno |
| 15/06/24 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 15/02/24 Club Friendly List | Neman Grodno | 0-2 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 47 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Isloch | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | FK Gomel | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BATE Borisov | Neman Grodno |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Mozyr | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Isloch | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Minsk | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| FK Gomel | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Neman Grodno (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Neman Grodno win (34%). Probabilities: BATE Borisov 33%, draw 34%, Neman Grodno 34%.
How many goals are expected in BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?
The model expects 2 goals (BATE Borisov 0.99 · Neman Grodno 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.