Football · Belarus Premier League · 19/10, 19:00

Prediction: Dinamo Minsk vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

Team pages: Dinamo Minsk · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Dinamo Minsk2.29

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0.68

1X2

73% 18% 9%

Dinamo Minsk Draw FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Minsk 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dinamo Minsk 5–1 FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (6 last)

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-1Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk1-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2-1Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk2-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-2Dinamo Minsk
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-1Dinamo Minsk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1566 vs 1379).
H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Minsk	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5.9	– / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.21 → 1.22▲	Pinn 1.22
X	5.52 → 5.78▲	Pinn 5.78
2	9.28 → 10.07▲	Pinn 10.07

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +2’	1.21	5.52	9.28
08:03 +11’	1.22▲	5.73▲	9.86▲
10:47 +42’	1.22▼	5.78▲	10.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Minsk 5–0–1 FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0-1 HT 0-0	Dinamo Minsk
08/11/25 Belarus Premier League	Dinamo Minsk	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
22/06/25 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2-1 HT 1-0	Dinamo Minsk
29/10/24 Belarus Premier League	Dinamo Minsk	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
01/06/24 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1-2 HT 1-1	Dinamo Minsk
14/08/22 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0-1 HT 0-0	Dinamo Minsk

Standings · Belarus Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC ML Vitebsk	23	14	8	1	49	18	50
2	Isloch	24	14	7	3	41	20	49
3	Dinamo Minsk	23	15	4	4	43	19	49
4	Dinamo Brest	25	13	5	7	41	25	44
5	Neman Grodno	24	13	4	7	31	20	43
6	FC Vitebsk	25	11	7	7	29	21	40
7	FK Gomel	25	11	7	7	36	25	40
8	FC Minsk	25	10	4	11	32	33	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	24	8	6	10	29	31	30
10	Slavia Mozyr	24	6	7	11	25	31	25
11	FC Baranovichi	25	6	7	12	24	42	25
12	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	24	5	8	11	24	42	23
13	BATE Borisov	24	4	9	11	18	30	21
14	Belshina Bobruisk	23	5	6	12	23	40	21
15	Naftan Novopolotsk	24	4	5	15	24	55	17
16	Dnepr Mogilev	24	2	10	12	22	39	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Minsk	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Slavia Mozyr	3-1 W	1-3 L
Dinamo Brest	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC ML Vitebsk	0-0 D	1-5 L
Naftan Novopolotsk	5-1 W	0-3 L
FC Baranovichi	0-1 L	0-0 D
Isloch	0-1 L	1-1 D
Torpedo Zhodino	4-0 W	2-4 L
FC Minsk	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Minsk (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Minsk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League	0-0	3-1	7	5	W
11/10	Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	6	W
19/09	BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
13/09	Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
06/09	FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
02/09	Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League	4-0	5-1	5	2	W
29/08	FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-1	10	0	L
24/08	Isloch Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
20/08	Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League	1-0	4-0	3	4	W
02/07	FC Minsk Belarus Premier League	2-0	3-0	6	3	W

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
18/09	FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League	1-1	1-5	0	3	L
12/09	FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
07/09	Isloch Belarus Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
30/08	Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League	1-0	2-4	2	4	L
22/08	Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
14/08	Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
07/08	Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
01/08	FC Minsk Belarus Premier League	0-2	1-2	4	0	L
12/07	FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Minsk vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Minsk win (73%). Probabilities: Dinamo Minsk 73%, draw 18%, FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 9%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Minsk vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Dinamo Minsk 2.29 · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0.68), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Minsk vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.