Football · Belarus Premier League · 24/10, 12:00
Prediction: FK Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk
Team pages: FK Gomel · Dinamo Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
FK Gomel1.18
Dinamo Minsk1.22
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
Dinamo Minsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Minsk
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
0–1–5
Dinamo Minsk
(6 last)
- Dinamo Minsk2-1FK Gomel
- Dinamo Minsk0-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel0-1Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk2-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel0-1Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk3-1FK Gomel
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1496 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | Dinamo Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 0–1–5 Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Gomel |
| 18/10/25 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 25/05/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 12/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 13/04/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 23/01/24 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Minsk | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FK Gomel |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | Isloch | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 21 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 28 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 42 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 32 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | 21 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 56 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | Dinamo Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-5 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Isloch | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 6-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 15/10 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 24/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Minsk win (36%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 34%, draw 30%, Dinamo Minsk 36%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?
The model expects 2.4 goals (FK Gomel 1.18 · Dinamo Minsk 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.