Football · Belarus Premier League · 15/10, 19:30
Prediction: FC ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
Team pages: FC ML Vitebsk · Torpedo Zhodino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
FC ML Vitebsk2.15
Torpedo Zhodino0.64
1X2
FC ML Vitebsk
Draw
Torpedo Zhodino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC ML Vitebsk
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Torpedo Zhodino
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC ML Vitebsk
1–2–2
Torpedo Zhodino
(5 last)
- Torpedo Zhodino0-1FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk0-1Torpedo Zhodino
- FC ML Vitebsk0-1Torpedo Zhodino
- Torpedo Zhodino1-1FC ML Vitebsk
- Torpedo Zhodino0-0FC ML Vitebsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1590 vs 1418).
- H2H favours Torpedo Zhodino: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC ML Vitebsk | Torpedo Zhodino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 9.3 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC ML Vitebsk 1–2–2 Torpedo Zhodino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Belarus Premier League | Torpedo Zhodino | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 13/09/25 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Zhodino |
| 08/05/25 Belarus Cup | FC ML Vitebsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Zhodino |
| 27/04/25 Belarus Premier League | Torpedo Zhodino | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 16/04/25 Belarus Cup | Torpedo Zhodino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC ML Vitebsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 47 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Isloch | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | FK Gomel | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC ML Vitebsk | Torpedo Zhodino |
|---|---|---|
| FK Gomel | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 5-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Dinamo Minsk | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
Torpedo Zhodino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/08 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC ML Vitebsk win (72%). Probabilities: FC ML Vitebsk 72%, draw 20%, Torpedo Zhodino 9%.
How many goals are expected in FC ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model expects 2.79 goals (FC ML Vitebsk 2.15 · Torpedo Zhodino 0.64), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.