Football · Belarus Premier League · 24/10, 18:30
Prediction: FC Vitebsk vs FC ML Vitebsk
Team pages: FC Vitebsk · FC ML Vitebsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
FC Vitebsk1.06
FC ML Vitebsk0.98
1X2
FC Vitebsk
Draw
FC ML Vitebsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Vitebsk
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FC ML Vitebsk
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Vitebsk
3–1–2
FC ML Vitebsk
(6 last)
- FC ML Vitebsk1-2FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk0-1FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk2-0FC Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk0-4FC Vitebsk
- FC Vitebsk1-0FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk2-2FC Vitebsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1532 vs 1575).
- H2H favours FC Vitebsk: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Vitebsk | FC ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vitebsk 3–1–2 FC ML Vitebsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Vitebsk |
| 26/10/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Vitebsk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 31/05/25 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| 07/10/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FC Vitebsk |
| 04/06/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC Vitebsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 21/06/22 Belarus Cup | FC ML Vitebsk | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Vitebsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | Isloch | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 21 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 28 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 42 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 32 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | 21 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 56 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Vitebsk | FC ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| BATE Borisov | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Neman Grodno | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Gomel | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Vitebsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
FC ML Vitebsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/10 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Vitebsk vs FC ML Vitebsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vitebsk win (35%). Probabilities: FC Vitebsk 35%, draw 33%, FC ML Vitebsk 31%.
How many goals are expected in FC Vitebsk vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model expects 2.03 goals (FC Vitebsk 1.06 · FC ML Vitebsk 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Vitebsk vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.