Football · Belarus Premier League · 25/10, 11:00
Prediction: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
Team pages: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · Dnepr Mogilev
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.32
Dnepr Mogilev1.28
1X2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Draw
Dnepr Mogilev
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Dnepr Mogilev
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
4–1–1
Dnepr Mogilev
(6 last)
- Dnepr Mogilev0-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- Dnepr Mogilev2-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dnepr Mogilev (rating 1413 vs 1463).
- H2H favours FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | Dnepr Mogilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3 | – / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4–1–1 Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 11/08/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 29/03/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 01/10/23 Belarus Division 1 | Dnepr Mogilev | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 28/05/23 Belarus Division 1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 06/11/22 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 52 |
| 3 | Isloch | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 21 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 28 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 43 | 28 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 32 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | 21 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 56 | 17 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Isloch | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 7 L | 0 W 5 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dnepr Mogilev (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win (36%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%, draw 29%, Dnepr Mogilev 35%.
How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?
The model expects 2.6 goals (FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.32 · Dnepr Mogilev 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.