Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 28/10, 14:30

Prediction: Kraluv Dvur vs Sparta Prague B

Team pages: Kraluv Dvur · Sparta Prague B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Kraluv Dvur1.53

Sparta Prague B1.82

1X2

32% 23% 44%

Kraluv Dvur Draw Sparta Prague B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kraluv Dvur 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Sparta Prague B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kraluv Dvur 0–2 Sparta Prague B (2 last)

Sparta Prague B4-1Kraluv Dvur
Sparta Prague B4-1Kraluv Dvur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kraluv Dvur 1581 · Sparta Prague B 1526

	Kraluv Dvur	Draw	Sparta Prague B
Our model	32%	25%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kraluv Dvur (rating 1581 vs 1526).
H2H favours Sparta Prague B: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kraluv Dvur	Sparta Prague B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.1	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:22 +2’	3.20	4.00	1.80
03:58 +6’	2.75▼	4.00	2.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kraluv Dvur 0–0–2 Sparta Prague B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/20 Czechia 3. Liga	Sparta Prague B	4-1 HT 2-0	Kraluv Dvur
18/08/19 Czechia 3. Liga	Sparta Prague B	4-1 HT 2-0	Kraluv Dvur

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kraluv Dvur	Sparta Prague B
Motorlet Praha	4-1 W	1-1 D
FK Loko Praha	3-2 W	4-0 W
Povltavska FA	2-1 W	0-0 D
Benesov	4-2 W	1-1 D
Jiskra Domazlice	1-2 L	2-2 D
FC Pisek	3-1 W	0-1 L
Dukla Praha B	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kraluv Dvur (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kraluv Dvur

WWWLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	6	3	D
17/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-3	4	3	W
10/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	7	7	W
26/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
19/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	9	1	W
05/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
22/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Sparta Prague B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
11/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
19/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	2	W
13/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
06/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
30/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
16/08	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kraluv Dvur vs Sparta Prague B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sparta Prague B win (44%). Probabilities: Kraluv Dvur 32%, draw 23%, Sparta Prague B 44%.

How many goals are expected in Kraluv Dvur vs Sparta Prague B?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Kraluv Dvur 1.53 · Sparta Prague B 1.82), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kraluv Dvur vs Sparta Prague B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.