Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: MFK Vitkovice vs TJ Unie Hlubina

Team pages: MFK Vitkovice · TJ Unie Hlubina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

MFK Vitkovice1.72

TJ Unie Hlubina1.31

1X2

47% 25% 29%

MFK Vitkovice Draw TJ Unie Hlubina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Vitkovice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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TJ Unie Hlubina 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLLWWD

Head-to-head

MFK Vitkovice 1–1–4 TJ Unie Hlubina (6 last)

TJ Unie Hlubina1-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice0-1TJ Unie Hlubina
TJ Unie Hlubina3-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice0-2TJ Unie Hlubina
TJ Unie Hlubina1-3MFK Vitkovice
TJ Unie Hlubina6-3MFK Vitkovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Vitkovice 1500 · TJ Unie Hlubina 1506

	MFK Vitkovice	Draw	TJ Unie Hlubina
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours TJ Unie Hlubina: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Vitkovice	TJ Unie Hlubina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +3’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vitkovice 1–1–4 TJ Unie Hlubina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	1-1 HT 1-0	MFK Vitkovice
15/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	0-1 HT 0-0	TJ Unie Hlubina
20/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	3-0 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice
16/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	0-2 HT 0-1	TJ Unie Hlubina
30/07/22 Czechia Cup	TJ Unie Hlubina	1-3 HT 0-1	MFK Vitkovice
26/08/20 Czechia Cup	TJ Unie Hlubina	6-3 HT 3-2	MFK Vitkovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Vitkovice	TJ Unie Hlubina
SK Hranice	1-2 L	4-1 W
FC Trinity Zlin B	3-0 W	2-2 D
SK Artis Brno B	0-0 D	2-1 W
FK Blansko	0-0 D	1-0 W
Slovacko II	1-0 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Unie Hlubina (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	8	5	W
24/10	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	0	W
16/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
03/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W

TJ Unie Hlubina

WDDDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
25/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
17/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
11/10	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-5	6	3	L
03/10	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	7	L
26/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
19/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
13/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Vitkovice vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Vitkovice win (47%). Probabilities: MFK Vitkovice 47%, draw 25%, TJ Unie Hlubina 29%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Vitkovice vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

The model expects 3.03 goals (MFK Vitkovice 1.72 · TJ Unie Hlubina 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Vitkovice vs TJ Unie Hlubina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.