Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs Sigma Olomouc B

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · Sigma Olomouc B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

SFK Vrchovina1.29

Sigma Olomouc B2.3

1X2

20% 21% 59%

SFK Vrchovina Draw Sigma Olomouc B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLWL

Sigma Olomouc B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

SFK Vrchovina 0–1–5 Sigma Olomouc B (6 last)

Sigma Olomouc B2-0SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina0-1Sigma Olomouc B
SFK Vrchovina1-7Sigma Olomouc B
Sigma Olomouc B5-1SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina3-3Sigma Olomouc B
Sigma Olomouc B1-0SFK Vrchovina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1427 · Sigma Olomouc B 1529

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	Sigma Olomouc B
Our model	20%	21%	59%
Market	20%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sigma Olomouc B (rating 1427 vs 1529).
H2H favours Sigma Olomouc B: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	Sigma Olomouc B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.7	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.33

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +6’	4.50	4.33	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Vrchovina 0–1–5 Sigma Olomouc B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	2-0 HT 2-0	SFK Vrchovina
16/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	0-1 HT 0-0	Sigma Olomouc B
21/05/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	1-7 HT 0-1	Sigma Olomouc B
17/10/21 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	5-1 HT 2-1	SFK Vrchovina
19/09/20 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	3-3 HT 3-0	Sigma Olomouc B
07/09/19 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	1-0 HT 1-0	SFK Vrchovina

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	Sigma Olomouc B
Polanka	2-4 L	5-0 W
MFK Havirov	2-0 W	0-3 L
CSK Uhersky Brod	0-4 L	1-2 L
SK Unicov	0-4 L	1-1 D
SK Hranice	0-1 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sigma Olomouc B (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Vrchovina

LLLDWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-4	5	3	L
24/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
17/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	10	5	L
10/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
03/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
19/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
12/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	9	L
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L

Sigma Olomouc B

LLDWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	5-1	2	3	W
25/10	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	5-0	6	4	W
18/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
11/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
03/10	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	2	9	W
26/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
19/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
02/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs Sigma Olomouc B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sigma Olomouc B win (59%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 20%, draw 21%, Sigma Olomouc B 59%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model expects 3.59 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.29 · Sigma Olomouc B 2.3), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs Sigma Olomouc B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.