Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs Polanka

Team pages: FK Hodonin · Polanka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

FK Hodonin2.34

Polanka1.04

1X2

66% 19% 15%

FK Hodonin Draw Polanka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLLW

Polanka 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 2–0 Polanka (2 last)

Polanka3-4FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin4-0Polanka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1542 · Polanka 1458

	FK Hodonin	Draw	Polanka
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Hodonin (rating 1542 vs 1458).
H2H favours FK Hodonin: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	Polanka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.1	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:08 +8’	1.36	4.75	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 2–0–0 Polanka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	3-4 HT 2-4	FK Hodonin
11/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	4-0 HT 2-0	Polanka

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	Polanka
MFK Havirov	1-0 W	1-3 L
CSK Uhersky Brod	1-2 L	4-0 W
SK Unicov	2-3 L	1-3 L
Frydek Mistek	3-0 W	1-0 W
TJ Unie Hlubina	4-1 W	1-1 D
FC Vsetin	2-0 W	0-3 L
FC Brno II	1-0 W	1-3 L
Sigma Olomouc B	2-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Hodonin

WLLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
24/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
18/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
10/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
03/10	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	9	7	W
26/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
20/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
06/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W

Polanka

DLLDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	4-2	2	3	W
25/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-5	6	4	L
18/10	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
11/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs Polanka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Hodonin win (66%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 66%, draw 19%, Polanka 15%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs Polanka?

The model expects 3.37 goals (FK Hodonin 2.34 · Polanka 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs Polanka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.