Football · China Super League Women · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Guangdong (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)
Team pages: Guangdong (W) · Changchun Dazhong (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Guangdong (W)1.22
Changchun Dazhong (W)1.02
1X2
Guangdong (W)
Draw
Changchun Dazhong (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Guangdong (W)
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Changchun Dazhong (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guangdong (W)
0–3–3
Changchun Dazhong (W)
(6 last)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)1-1Guangdong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)1-0Guangdong (W)
- Guangdong (W)2-3Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Guangdong (W)0-0Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)3-3Guangdong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)2-0Guangdong (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangdong (W) 1485 · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1484
| Guangdong (W) | Draw | Changchun Dazhong (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Dazhong (W): 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong (W) | Changchun Dazhong (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong (W) 0–3–3 Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guangdong (W) |
| 10/08/25 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong (W) |
| 17/03/25 China Super League Women | Guangdong (W) | 2-3 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 07/09/24 China Super League Women | Guangdong (W) | 0-0 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 18/05/24 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Guangdong (W) |
| 19/08/23 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangdong (W) | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 3 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 4 | Shandong (W) | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 6 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangdong (W) | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Shandong (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Beijing (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Changchun Dazhong (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 12/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Guangdong (W) 40%, draw 31%, Changchun Dazhong (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Guangdong (W) 1.22 · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong (W) vs Changchun Dazhong (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.