Football · China Super League Women · 24/10, 10:00
Prediction: Shanghai (W) vs Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Team pages: Shanghai (W) · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Shanghai (W)1.19
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)0.97
1X2
Shanghai (W)
Draw
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai (W)
0–2–1
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
(3 last)
- Shanghai (W)1-2Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
- Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)0-0Shanghai (W)
- Shanghai (W)1-1Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanghai (W) 1534 · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1599
| Shanghai (W) | Draw | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (rating 1534 vs 1599).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai (W) | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.8 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai (W) 0–2–1 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) |
| 02/08/25 China Super League Women | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-0 | Shanghai (W) |
| 11/06/25 China Super League Women | Shanghai (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 34 |
| 2 | Beijing (W) | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Shanghai (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Jiangsu Suning (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai (W) | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wuhan Jiangda (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai (W) vs Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Shanghai (W) 40%, draw 30%, Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai (W) vs Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Shanghai (W) 1.19 · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai (W) vs Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.