Football · China Super League Women · 25/10, 08:00

Prediction: Beijing (W) vs Jiangsu Suning (W)

Team pages: Beijing (W) · Jiangsu Suning (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Beijing (W)1.97

Jiangsu Suning (W)0.86

1X2

62% 23% 14%

Beijing (W) Draw Jiangsu Suning (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Beijing (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDDW

Jiangsu Suning (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Beijing (W) 2–4 Jiangsu Suning (W) (6 last)

Beijing (W)3-2Jiangsu Suning (W)
Beijing (W)1-0Jiangsu Suning (W)
Jiangsu Suning (W)2-0Beijing (W)
Beijing (W)0-1Jiangsu Suning (W)
Jiangsu Suning (W)1-0Beijing (W)
Beijing (W)1-2Jiangsu Suning (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing (W) 1582 · Jiangsu Suning (W) 1458

	Beijing (W)	Draw	Jiangsu Suning (W)
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	62%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing (W) (rating 1582 vs 1458).
H2H favours Jiangsu Suning (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Beijing (W)	Jiangsu Suning (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.4	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.2	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.80

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +7’	1.44	3.80	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing (W) 2–0–4 Jiangsu Suning (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	3-2 HT 0-0	Jiangsu Suning (W)
13/08/25 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	1-0	Jiangsu Suning (W)
12/04/25 China Super League Women	Jiangsu Suning (W)	2-0	Beijing (W)
28/07/24 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Jiangsu Suning (W)
31/03/24 China Super League Women	Jiangsu Suning (W)	1-0	Beijing (W)
19/11/23 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	1-2	Jiangsu Suning (W)

Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	13	11	1	1	21	5	34
2	Beijing (W)	13	9	3	1	25	11	30
3	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	13	8	3	2	17	11	27
4	Shanghai (W)	13	7	4	2	22	10	25
5	Jiangsu Suning (W)	13	6	1	6	15	16	19
6	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	13	4	1	8	7	16	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beijing (W)	Jiangsu Suning (W)
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
Shanghai (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Guangxi Pingguo (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	3-1 W	3-2 W
Guangdong (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing (W)

WWWWWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	2-1	3-1	6	1	W
11/10	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/07	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
12/07	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
05/07	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
29/06	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
24/06	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
19/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
13/06	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
17/05	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	0-0	3-2	6	3	W

Jiangsu Suning (W)

LWWDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-2	0-2	3	0	L
10/10	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
19/07	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
12/07	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
04/07	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
28/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
24/06	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
20/06	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
13/06	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-2	3-2	11	3	W
17/05	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing (W) vs Jiangsu Suning (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Beijing (W) 62%, draw 23%, Jiangsu Suning (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Beijing (W) vs Jiangsu Suning (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Beijing (W) 1.97 · Jiangsu Suning (W) 0.86), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Beijing (W) vs Jiangsu Suning (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.