Football · China Super League Women · 18/10, 10:00

Prediction: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)

Team pages: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) · Wuhan Jiangda (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)1.24

Wuhan Jiangda (W)0.94

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) Draw Wuhan Jiangda (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Wuhan Jiangda (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDLWWW

Head-to-head

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 3–0 Wuhan Jiangda (W) (3 last)

Wuhan Jiangda (W)0-2Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)4-2Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Wuhan Jiangda (W)0-3Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1615 · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 1538

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Draw	Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Our model	42%	32%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (rating 1615 vs 1538).
H2H favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W): 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.6	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.60 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +16’	1.91	3.20	3.60
22:55 +8’	2.10▲	3.10▼	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 3–0–0 Wuhan Jiangda (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 China Super League Women	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
20/09/25 China Super League Women	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	4-2 HT 4-1	Wuhan Jiangda (W)
08/03/25 China Super League Women	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	12	11	0	1	20	4	33
2	Beijing (W)	12	8	3	1	22	10	27
3	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	12	8	2	2	16	10	26
4	Shanghai (W)	13	7	4	2	22	10	25
5	Jiangsu Suning (W)	13	6	1	6	15	16	19
6	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	12	4	1	7	6	13	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Wuhan Jiangda (W)
Guangxi Pingguo (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Jiangsu Suning (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shanghai (W)	2-1 W	0-5 L
Shandong (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
19/07	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/07	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
05/07	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
28/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/06	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
13/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
16/05	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	12	0	W
09/05	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W

Wuhan Jiangda (W)

WWLWDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
19/07	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
15/07	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
05/07	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
29/06	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
24/06	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/06	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
13/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-5	6	0	L
16/05	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
10/05	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	0	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 42%, draw 30%, Wuhan Jiangda (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1.24 · Wuhan Jiangda (W) 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Wuhan Jiangda (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.