Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 10/10, 21:00

Prediction: CE Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas

Team pages: CE Bento Goncalves · Brasil de Pelotas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

CE Bento Goncalves0.97

Brasil de Pelotas1.1

1X2

31% 32% 37%

CE Bento Goncalves Draw Brasil de Pelotas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CE Bento Goncalves 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLWWDD

Brasil de Pelotas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDWWLD

Head-to-head

CE Bento Goncalves 1–3–2 Brasil de Pelotas (6 last)

Brasil de Pelotas0-0CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves2-1Brasil de Pelotas
CE Bento Goncalves1-1Brasil de Pelotas
CE Bento Goncalves0-1Brasil de Pelotas
CE Bento Goncalves0-1Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas0-0CE Bento Goncalves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Bento Goncalves 1525 · Brasil de Pelotas 1512

	CE Bento Goncalves	Draw	Brasil de Pelotas
Our model	30%	33%	37%
Market	31%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Brasil de Pelotas: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Bento Goncalves	Brasil de Pelotas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	3.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	6.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.88

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
X	3.00 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	3.00 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:31 +57’	2.20	3.00	3.00
01:18 +40’	2.40▲	3.00	2.70▼
14:40 +6’	3.00▲	3.00	2.20▼
19:46 +2’	2.88▼	2.88▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Bento Goncalves 1–3–2 Brasil de Pelotas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Brasil de Pelotas	0-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
20/08/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	2-1 HT 1-1	Brasil de Pelotas
09/11/25 Brazil Copa Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
29/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	0-1 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
07/03/21 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	CE Bento Goncalves	0-1 HT 0-1	Brasil de Pelotas
30/01/20 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Brasil de Pelotas	0-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	15	8	6	1	21	9	30
2	Veranopolis	15	7	5	3	12	6	26
3	CE Bento Goncalves	15	6	7	2	18	12	25
4	Santa Cruz RS	15	6	7	2	15	10	25
5	APAFUT	15	6	6	3	20	14	24
6	Uniao Frederiquense	15	6	6	3	17	12	24
7	Brasil de Farroupilha	14	5	8	1	13	7	23
8	Aimore RS	15	5	6	4	14	14	21
9	Brasil de Pelotas	13	5	5	3	13	10	20
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	15	4	6	5	18	21	18
11	GE Bage	15	3	6	6	13	19	15
12	EC Pelotas	13	2	7	4	11	15	13
13	Sport Clube Gaucho	15	3	3	9	11	16	12
14	GE Gloria	14	2	6	6	11	16	12
15	Gramadense	15	1	8	6	10	19	11
16	Lajeadense	15	1	2	12	6	23	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Bento Goncalves	Brasil de Pelotas
Aimore RS	1-1 D	1-0 W
Veranopolis	1-0 W	0-1 L
Brasil de Farroupilha	1-1 D	2-2 D
GE Gloria	1-2 L	2-0 W
GE Bage	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE Bento Goncalves

DLDDWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
19/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
17/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
12/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
10/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
02/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	8	5	D

Brasil de Pelotas

WDDWLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
17/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
01/09	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-2	5	9	D
23/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	7	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brasil de Pelotas win (37%). Probabilities: CE Bento Goncalves 31%, draw 32%, Brasil de Pelotas 37%.

How many goals are expected in CE Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model expects 2.07 goals (CE Bento Goncalves 0.97 · Brasil de Pelotas 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.