Prediction: Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City
Team pages: Kidsgrove Ath · Lichfield City
| Kidsgrove Ath | Draw | Lichfield City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidsgrove Ath (rating 1494 vs 1379).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kidsgrove Ath | Lichfield City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kidsgrove Ath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Chasetown England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/03 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Clitheroe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/03 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/01 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 13/01 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/12 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
4-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/10 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Lichfield City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Prescot Cables England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Hanley Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/08 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 24/02 | Coventry Sphinx England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/02 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/01 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/10 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidsgrove Ath win (75%). Probabilities: Kidsgrove Ath 75%, draw 15%, Lichfield City 10%.
How many goals are expected in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Kidsgrove Ath 2.72 · Lichfield City 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

