Prediction: Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City

Team pages: Kidsgrove Ath · Lichfield City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Kidsgrove Ath2.72
Lichfield City0.93
1X2
75% 15% 10%
Kidsgrove Ath Draw Lichfield City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Kidsgrove Ath 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLWWWDLW
Lichfield City 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kidsgrove Ath 1494 · Lichfield City 1379
Kidsgrove AthDrawLichfield City
Our model74%16%10%
Market75%14%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidsgrove Ath (rating 1494 vs 1379).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kidsgrove AthLichfield City
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.10.9 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%11/33/56%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 41.8 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.23.1 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kidsgrove Ath

DWLLWWWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/09 Chasetown
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-1 63 W
25/08 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 33 L
04/04 Lower Breck
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 46 D
24/03 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-1 44 W
17/03 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 17 W
10/03 Darlaston Town 1874
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 63 W
24/01 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 410 L
13/01 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-3 25 L
13/12 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
4-1 4-1 72 W
28/10 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 35 D

Lichfield City

LLWLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Prescot Cables
England Northern League Division One
0-3 0-5 11 L
16/09 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-5 21 L
09/09 Hanley Town
England Northern League Division One
1-2 1-5 33 L
19/08 Stafford Rangers
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-3 14 L
12/08 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
– 2-4 –– L
25/04 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-3 16 L
24/02 Coventry Sphinx
England Northern League Division One
1-2 1-3 33 L
04/02 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 33 W
01/01 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 45 L
22/10 Corby
England Northern League Division One
0-2 1-4 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidsgrove Ath win (75%). Probabilities: Kidsgrove Ath 75%, draw 15%, Lichfield City 10%.

How many goals are expected in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Kidsgrove Ath 2.72 · Lichfield City 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.