Football · England Northern League Division One · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Sutton Coldfield vs Mickleover Sports
Team pages: Sutton Coldfield · Mickleover Sports
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Sutton Coldfield1.54
Mickleover Sports1.47
1X2
Sutton Coldfield
Draw
Mickleover Sports
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutton Coldfield
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Mickleover Sports
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutton Coldfield
1–1–4
Mickleover Sports
(6 last)
- Mickleover Sports2-1Sutton Coldfield
- Mickleover Sports2-2Sutton Coldfield
- Sutton Coldfield2-1Mickleover Sports
- Mickleover Sports2-0Sutton Coldfield
- Mickleover Sports3-1Sutton Coldfield
- Sutton Coldfield0-1Mickleover Sports
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutton Coldfield 1475 · Mickleover Sports 1536
| Sutton Coldfield | Draw | Mickleover Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mickleover Sports (rating 1475 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Mickleover Sports: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Coldfield | Mickleover Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Coldfield 1–1–4 Mickleover Sports
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 England FA Trophy | Mickleover Sports | 2-1 | Sutton Coldfield |
| 04/11/25 England Northern League Division One | Mickleover Sports | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Sutton Coldfield |
| 17/03/18 England Northern Premier League | Sutton Coldfield | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mickleover Sports |
| 11/11/17 England Northern Premier League | Mickleover Sports | 2-0 | Sutton Coldfield |
| 04/04/17 England Northern Premier League | Mickleover Sports | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sutton Coldfield |
| 18/10/16 England Northern Premier League | Sutton Coldfield | 0-1 | Mickleover Sports |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutton Coldfield | Mickleover Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Coleshill Town | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Loughborough University | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Lichfield City | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Anstey Nomads | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sutton Coldfield (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Coldfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Barwell England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/08 | St Ives Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 03/02 | Bourne Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/01 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/12 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/11 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
3-2 | 5-3 | 0 | 4 | W |
Mickleover Sports
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/08 | Coventry United England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Nuneaton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 10/03 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/02 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/01 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/11 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 31/10 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/10 | Basford Utd England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Coldfield vs Mickleover Sports?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Coldfield win (39%). Probabilities: Sutton Coldfield 39%, draw 26%, Mickleover Sports 36%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Coldfield vs Mickleover Sports?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Sutton Coldfield 1.54 · Mickleover Sports 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Coldfield vs Mickleover Sports?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.