Football · Algeria Division 2 · 02/10, 16:00

Prediction: MO Constantine vs CR Beni Thour

Team pages: MO Constantine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

MO Constantine1.45

CR Beni Thour0.66

1X2

55% 29% 16%

MO Constantine Draw CR Beni Thour

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

MO Constantine 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLLWDD

CR Beni Thour 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDLWL

Head-to-head

MO Constantine 1–1–0 CR Beni Thour (2 last)

CR Beni Thour1-1MO Constantine
MO Constantine1-0CR Beni Thour

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MO Constantine 1488 · CR Beni Thour 1471

	MO Constantine	Draw	CR Beni Thour
Our model	55%	29%	16%
Market	56%	28%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MO Constantine	CR Beni Thour
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	0.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +4’	1.61	3.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MO Constantine 1–1–0 CR Beni Thour

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/01/26 Algeria Division 2	CR Beni Thour	1-1 HT 1-0	MO Constantine
14/09/25 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	1-0 HT 0-0	CR Beni Thour

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Paradou AC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
2	AS Khroub	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
3	MO Bejaia	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	JS Azazga	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	NRB Beni Oulbene	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	USM Annaba	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
7	JSM Skikda	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
8	IRB Nezla	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
9	NC Magra	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
10	MSP Batna	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	MO Constantine	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	CA Batna	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	NRB Teleghma	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	US Chaouia	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	JS Djijel	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
16	CR Beni Thour	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MO Constantine	CR Beni Thour
MSP Batna	0-0 D	0-0 D
MO Bejaia	0-0 D	1-3 L
HB Chelghoum Laid	3-1 W	3-2 W
US Chaouia	1-3 L	0-4 L
USM Annaba	0-0 D	0-0 D
JS Bordj Menaiel	0-3 L	1-0 W
NC Magra	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MO Constantine (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MO Constantine

WDLDDLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
18/09	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
02/05	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
21/04	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
10/04	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
04/04	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-3	0-3	0	0	L
27/03	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
14/03	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	10	W

CR Beni Thour

LLWLDWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	5	1	W
02/05	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
21/04	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/04	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	2-1	3-2	10	5	W
10/04	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
04/04	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
27/03	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
14/03	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	3	L
06/03	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MO Constantine vs CR Beni Thour?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MO Constantine win (55%). Probabilities: MO Constantine 55%, draw 29%, CR Beni Thour 16%.

How many goals are expected in MO Constantine vs CR Beni Thour?

The model expects 2.11 goals (MO Constantine 1.45 · CR Beni Thour 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MO Constantine vs CR Beni Thour?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.