Football · Japan L2 League Women · 26/09, 06:00

Prediction: Diosa Izumo (W) vs SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

Team pages: Diosa Izumo (W) · SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Diosa Izumo (W)1.37

SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)1.05

1X2

43% 30% 27%

Diosa Izumo (W) Draw SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosa Izumo (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLLDL

SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

Diosa Izumo (W) 1–1 SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) (2 last)

SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)0-1Diosa Izumo (W)
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)2-0Diosa Izumo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosa Izumo (W) 1486 · SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) 1449

	Diosa Izumo (W)	Draw	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosa Izumo (W)	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.3	0.8 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.1 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	2.90 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.03
2	3.00 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.43 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:48 +42’	2.30	2.90	3.00
03:39 +10’	2.10▼	3.00▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +44’	1.98	3.03	3.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosa Izumo (W) 1–0–1 SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Diosa Izumo (W)
27/09/25 Japan L2 League Women	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Diosa Izumo (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosa Izumo (W)	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)
Nankatsu SC (W)	0-2 L	1-4 L
Veertien Mie (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Gunma FC White Star (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Speranza Takatsuki (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Diosa Izumo (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosa Izumo (W)

WDLWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
30/08	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
16/08	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
20/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-1	2-1	4	0	W
07/06	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
16/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
03/05	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
19/04	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
29/03	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W

SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)

LLLLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
29/08	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-1	4	0	D
28/06	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-2	4-2	1	1	W
20/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/06	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
06/06	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
31/05	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
23/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
16/05	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
03/05	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosa Izumo (W) vs SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Diosa Izumo (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Diosa Izumo (W) 43%, draw 30%, SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Diosa Izumo (W) vs SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Diosa Izumo (W) 1.37 · SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosa Izumo (W) vs SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.