Football · Japan L2 League Women · 27/09, 06:00

Prediction: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Team pages: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0.82

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)1.62

1X2

18% 26% 56%

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Draw Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1–2 Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) (3 last)

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)2-1FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)2-0Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)0-2Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1409 · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 1512

	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Draw	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Our model	18%	27%	55%
Market	19%	25%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) (rating 1409 vs 1512).
H2H favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.60

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.99 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:40 +12’	4.75	3.60	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:18 +55’	4.99	3.52	1.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1–0–2 Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
03/05/24 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
30/04/22 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)
Speranza Takatsuki (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	0-1 L	2-4 L
Kibi University (W)	0-5 L	1-1 D
JFA Academy (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
27/06	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
14/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
06/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
24/05	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
17/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	1-2	2	0	L
10/05	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
03/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/04	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
11/04	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
30/08	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
28/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-3	2-4	6	1	L
14/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
07/06	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	9	0	D
30/05	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/05	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
17/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-1	9	0	W
10/05	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
02/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) win (56%). Probabilities: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 18%, draw 26%, Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

The model expects 2.44 goals (FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 0.82 · Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) 1.62), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.