Football · Japan L2 League Women · 26/09, 07:00

Prediction: Gunma FC White Star (W) vs JFA Academy (W)

Team pages: Gunma FC White Star (W) · JFA Academy (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Gunma FC White Star (W)1.22

JFA Academy (W)0.82

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Gunma FC White Star (W) Draw JFA Academy (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Gunma FC White Star (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLLDW

JFA Academy (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLLLWW

Head-to-head

Gunma FC White Star (W) 1–1 JFA Academy (W) (2 last)

Gunma FC White Star (W)2-1JFA Academy (W)
JFA Academy (W)5-0Gunma FC White Star (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gunma FC White Star (W) 1451 · JFA Academy (W) 1473

	Gunma FC White Star (W)	Draw	JFA Academy (W)
Our model	44%	32%	24%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gunma FC White Star (W)	JFA Academy (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	1.6 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	0.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.91▲	Pinn 2.11 ★
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.37
2	3.80 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +13’	1.80	3.30	3.80
20:14 +2’	1.85▲	3.25▼	3.60▼
22:32 +19’	1.91▲	3.25	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +71’	2.11	3.37	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gunma FC White Star (W) 1–0–1 JFA Academy (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/25 Japan L2 League Women	Gunma FC White Star (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	JFA Academy (W)
02/10/21 Japan L2 League Women	JFA Academy (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Gunma FC White Star (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gunma FC White Star (W)	JFA Academy (W)
Nankatsu SC (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Diosa Izumo (W)	1-2 L	0-5 L
FC Osaka Speranza (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Veertien Mie (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	0-0 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gunma FC White Star (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gunma FC White Star (W)

DLWLLLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
29/08	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
28/06	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-3	13	1	L
13/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	1-2	3	0	L
06/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
30/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
24/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	11	0	L
03/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
26/04	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
19/04	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	0	D

JFA Academy (W)

DLLDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
20/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
23/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
10/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
26/04	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
05/04	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
20/03	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
18/10	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-5	0	0	L
12/10	FC Imabari (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gunma FC White Star (W) vs JFA Academy (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gunma FC White Star (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Gunma FC White Star (W) 45%, draw 30%, JFA Academy (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Gunma FC White Star (W) vs JFA Academy (W)?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Gunma FC White Star (W) 1.22 · JFA Academy (W) 0.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gunma FC White Star (W) vs JFA Academy (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.