Football · Japan L2 League Women · 04/10, 04:00

Prediction: JFA Academy (W) vs FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Team pages: JFA Academy (W) · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

JFA Academy (W)1

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)1.73

1X2

20% 27% 53%

JFA Academy (W) Draw FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

JFA Academy (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLLWWD

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

JFA Academy (W) 3–1–1 FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (5 last)

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)4-0JFA Academy (W)
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)0-0JFA Academy (W)
JFA Academy (W)1-0FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)0-5JFA Academy (W)
JFA Academy (W)3-1FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JFA Academy (W) 1463 · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 1602

	JFA Academy (W)	Draw	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
Our model	21%	26%	53%
Market	20%	27%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (rating 1463 vs 1602).
H2H favours JFA Academy (W): 3-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JFA Academy (W)	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.6	2.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.1 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.30

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
X	3.75 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	1.50 → 1.70▲	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +3’	5.50	3.75	1.50
23:46 +12’	4.50▼	3.30▼	1.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +47’	4.32	3.30	1.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JFA Academy (W) 3–1–1 FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	4-0 HT 3-0	JFA Academy (W)
06/07/25 Japan L2 League Women	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	JFA Academy (W)
08/06/24 Japan L2 League Women	JFA Academy (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
10/06/23 Japan L2 League Women	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	JFA Academy (W)
02/04/23 Japan L2 League Women	JFA Academy (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JFA Academy (W)	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)
Gunma FC White Star (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Veertien Mie (W)	2-0 W	3-1 W
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Nankatsu SC (W)	0-0 D	4-0 W
Speranza Takatsuki (W)	0-2 L	3-1 W
Diosa Izumo (W)	0-5 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JFA Academy (W)

LLDDLLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
28/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
20/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
23/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
10/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
26/04	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
05/04	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
20/03	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
18/10	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-5	0	0	L

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

DLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Speranza Takatsuki (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
30/08	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
28/06	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
13/06	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	4-0	5	0	W
07/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
31/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-1	3-1	4	1	W
23/05	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	4-0	7	1	W
02/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/04	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
19/04	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JFA Academy (W) vs FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) win (53%). Probabilities: JFA Academy (W) 20%, draw 27%, FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in JFA Academy (W) vs FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)?

The model expects 2.73 goals (JFA Academy (W) 1 · FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) 1.73), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JFA Academy (W) vs FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.