Football · Japan L2 League Women · 26/09, 07:00

Prediction: Nankatsu SC (W) vs Veertien Mie (W)

Team pages: Nankatsu SC (W) · Veertien Mie (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Nankatsu SC (W)1.17

Veertien Mie (W)1.22

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Nankatsu SC (W) Draw Veertien Mie (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nankatsu SC (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Veertien Mie (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Nankatsu SC (W) 0–1–2 Veertien Mie (W) (3 last)

Veertien Mie (W)2-2Nankatsu SC (W)
Veertien Mie (W)3-1Nankatsu SC (W)
Nankatsu SC (W)0-2Veertien Mie (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nankatsu SC (W) 1459 · Veertien Mie (W) 1496

	Nankatsu SC (W)	Draw	Veertien Mie (W)
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Veertien Mie (W): 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nankatsu SC (W)	Veertien Mie (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.1	1.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.76 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10 +6’	2.63	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:00 +15’	2.76	2.82	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nankatsu SC (W) 0–1–2 Veertien Mie (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Nankatsu SC (W)
31/05/25 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Nankatsu SC (W)
06/04/25 Japan L2 League Women	Nankatsu SC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nankatsu SC (W)	Veertien Mie (W)
Gunma FC White Star (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Diosa Izumo (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	0-4 L	1-3 L
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	4-1 W	1-0 W
JFA Academy (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nankatsu SC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
30/08	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
16/08	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
13/06	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
30/05	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
23/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
03/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-1	2-2	0	1	D
19/04	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-5	2	0	L
05/04	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D

Veertien Mie (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
30/08	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-4	0-4	2	0	L
28/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
20/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
06/06	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
31/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-3	1-3	4	1	L
24/05	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
17/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
03/05	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Veertien Mie (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Veertien Mie (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Nankatsu SC (W) 34%, draw 30%, Veertien Mie (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Veertien Mie (W)?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Nankatsu SC (W) 1.17 · Veertien Mie (W) 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Veertien Mie (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.