Prediction: Sumsel United vs PSPS Pekanbaru
Team pages: Sumsel United · PSPS Pekanbaru
- PSPS Pekanbaru2-0Sumsel United
- Sumsel United3-2PSPS Pekanbaru
- PSPS Pekanbaru1-1Sumsel United
| Sumsel United | Draw | PSPS Pekanbaru | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSPS Pekanbaru (rating 1492 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sumsel United | PSPS Pekanbaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.8 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumsel United 1–1–1 PSPS Pekanbaru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Indonesia Championship | PSPS Pekanbaru | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sumsel United |
| 10/01/26 Indonesia Championship | Sumsel United | 3-2 HT 1-2 | PSPS Pekanbaru |
| 18/10/25 Indonesia Championship | PSPS Pekanbaru | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sumsel United |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad 1999 FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSIS Semarang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Semen Padang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | PSGC Ciamis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | PSPS Pekanbaru | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Bekasi City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sumsel United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sumsel United | PSPS Pekanbaru |
|---|---|---|
| PSMS Medan | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Persekat Kabupaten Tegal | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Persikad 1999 FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Bekasi City | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Persiraja Aceh | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Sriwijaya | 3-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Garudayaksa | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PSPS Pekanbaru (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumsel United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | PSGC Ciamis Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/02 | Sriwijaya Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
PSPS Pekanbaru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Sumsel United Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Sriwijaya Indonesia Championship |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 28/02 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20/02 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumsel United vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sumsel United win (44%). Probabilities: Sumsel United 44%, draw 27%, PSPS Pekanbaru 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sumsel United vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Sumsel United 1.64 · PSPS Pekanbaru 1.31), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sumsel United vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.