Football · Indonesia Championship · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: Persikad 1999 FC vs Persiraja Aceh

Team pages: Persikad 1999 FC · Persiraja Aceh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Persikad 1999 FC1.7
Persiraja Aceh1.42
1X2
42% 27% 31%
Persikad 1999 FC Draw Persiraja Aceh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Persikad 1999 FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDLDWLWW
Persiraja Aceh 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLDDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Persikad 1999 FC 1526 · Persiraja Aceh 1482
Persikad 1999 FCDrawPersiraja Aceh
Our model43%26%31%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persikad 1999 FC (rating 1526 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Persikad 1999 FCPersiraja Aceh
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.81.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 10.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.31.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.43.3 / 0.3

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Persikad 1999 FC 2200 426
2 PSMS Medan 2110 824
3 PSIS Semarang 2110 323
4 Semen Padang 2110 213
5 PSGC Ciamis 2101 323
6 PSPS Pekanbaru 2101 333
7 Bekasi City 2011 231
8 Sumsel United 2011 240
9 Persiraja Aceh 2002 13-1
10 Persiku Kudus 2011 17-1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPersikad 1999 FCPersiraja Aceh
Bekasi City 2-1 W 0-1 L
Garudayaksa 1-3 L 2-2 D
Sumsel United 1-1 D 2-0 W
PSPS Pekanbaru 1-3 L 1-2 L
PSMS Medan 2-2 D 1-1 D
Persekat Kabupaten Tegal 4-1 W 1-1 D
Sriwijaya 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Persiraja Aceh (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Persikad 1999 FC

WLWDLDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-1 2-1 34 W
12/09 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
1-1 2-1 10 W
02/05 Garudayaksa
Indonesia Championship
1-2 1-3 55 L
25/04 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
3-1 3-2 66 W
18/04 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
12/04 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-2 1-3 –– L
05/04 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-2 38 D
27/03 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
2-1 4-1 66 W
28/02 Persiraja Aceh
Indonesia Championship
1-1 2-3 66 L
20/02 Sriwijaya
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-1 –– W

Persiraja Aceh

LWWWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
0-2 1-2 34 L
13/09 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 53 L
02/05 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
26/04 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
19/04 Garudayaksa
Indonesia Championship
0-1 2-2 –– D
12/04 Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesia Championship
0-2 3-4 56 L
04/04 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-0 00 W
28/03 Sriwijaya
Indonesia Championship
0-0 2-1 –– W
28/02 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-1 3-2 16 W
22/02 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Persikad 1999 FC vs Persiraja Aceh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Persikad 1999 FC win (42%). Probabilities: Persikad 1999 FC 42%, draw 27%, Persiraja Aceh 31%.

How many goals are expected in Persikad 1999 FC vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Persikad 1999 FC 1.7 · Persiraja Aceh 1.42), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Persikad 1999 FC vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.