Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: CD Beti Onak vs CD Pamplona

Team pages: CD Beti Onak · CD Pamplona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

CD Beti Onak1.52

CD Pamplona1.24

1X2

43% 27% 30%

CD Beti Onak Draw CD Pamplona

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Beti Onak 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDDDLWLL

CD Pamplona 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDDLWLL

Head-to-head

CD Beti Onak 2–2–2 CD Pamplona (6 last)

CD Pamplona4-1CD Beti Onak
CD Beti Onak1-1CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona1-0CD Beti Onak
CD Beti Onak2-0CD Pamplona
CD Beti Onak2-2CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona1-2CD Beti Onak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Beti Onak 1481 · CD Pamplona 1499

	CD Beti Onak	Draw	CD Pamplona
Our model	43%	28%	30%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Beti Onak	CD Pamplona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/83/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 1	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.35 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +24’	2.25	3.30	2.70
21:02 +11’	2.20▼	3.30	2.75▲
01:05 +6’	2.10▼	3.30	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +47’	2.37	3.07	2.85
20:26 +47’	2.08▼	3.14▲	3.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Beti Onak 2–2–2 CD Pamplona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	4-1 HT 3-0	CD Beti Onak
10/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Beti Onak	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Pamplona
20/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Beti Onak
09/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Beti Onak	2-0	CD Pamplona
02/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Beti Onak	2-2 HT 1-1	CD Pamplona
12/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	1-2 HT 1-0	CD Beti Onak

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Izarra	9	8	1	0	26	4	25
2	Mutilvera	9	6	3	0	15	3	21
3	Beti Kozkor KE	9	5	1	3	10	9	16
4	Avance	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
5	AD San Juan	9	4	2	3	17	10	14
6	CF Gazte Berriak	9	4	2	3	9	7	14
7	Subiza	9	4	1	4	17	14	13
8	UDC Txantrea	9	3	4	2	11	11	13
9	Valle Egues	9	3	4	2	15	13	13
10	Doneztebe FT	9	3	3	3	16	12	12
11	Cirbonero	9	3	2	4	10	14	11
12	Aoiz	9	2	5	2	8	7	11
13	CD Cantolagua	9	3	0	6	5	20	9
14	CD Beti Onak	9	1	5	3	11	14	8
15	CD Pamplona	9	1	4	4	7	14	7
16	Huarte	9	1	4	4	7	15	7
17	CD Cortes	9	1	3	5	4	16	6
18	Bidezarra	9	0	4	5	6	16	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Beti Onak	CD Pamplona
UDC Txantrea	1-2 L	1-5 L
Izarra	1-4 L	1-2 L
CD Cortes	4-0 W	0-0 D
Beti Kozkor KE	0-3 L	0-1 L
AD San Juan	1-1 D	1-0 W
Valle Egues	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Beti Onak

WDDDDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
24/10	Izarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-4	–	–	L
17/10	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-0	–	–	W
08/10	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-3	–	–	L
03/10	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-1	1	15	D
20/09	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Avance Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	Avance Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	2-1	8	3	W

CD Pamplona

WDLDDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	2-4	5	3	L
24/10	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	1-1	1-5	3	2	L
18/10	CF Gazte Berriak Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
10/10	Izarra Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
03/10	Huarte Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
26/09	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-0	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Beti Onak vs CD Pamplona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Beti Onak win (43%). Probabilities: CD Beti Onak 43%, draw 27%, CD Pamplona 30%.

How many goals are expected in CD Beti Onak vs CD Pamplona?

The model expects 2.75 goals (CD Beti Onak 1.52 · CD Pamplona 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Beti Onak vs CD Pamplona?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.