Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 14/11, 15:30

Prediction: CD Pamplona vs Avance

Team pages: CD Pamplona · Avance

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

CD Pamplona1.08

Avance1.15

1X2

33% 32% 36%

CD Pamplona Draw Avance

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Pamplona 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDDDLWLLL

Avance 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLLWL

Head-to-head

CD Pamplona 3–2–1 Avance (6 last)

Avance0-0CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona4-0Avance
Avance2-2CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona3-2Avance
Avance3-4CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona0-1Avance

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avance (rating 1434 vs 1499).
H2H favours CD Pamplona: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Pamplona	Avance
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.5	6.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:58 +9’	1.93	3.27	3.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Pamplona 3–2–1 Avance

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 15	Avance	0-0	CD Pamplona
04/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	4-0	Avance
17/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 15	Avance	2-2	CD Pamplona
30/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	3-2	Avance
16/04/23 Spain Tercera Group 15	Avance	3-4	CD Pamplona
10/12/22 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	0-1	Avance

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Izarra	10	8	2	0	28	6	26
2	Mutilvera	10	6	4	0	17	5	22
3	CF Gazte Berriak	11	4	4	3	13	11	16
4	AD San Juan	11	4	4	3	21	14	16
5	Doneztebe FT	11	4	4	3	21	13	16
6	Subiza	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
7	Beti Kozkor KE	11	5	1	5	12	17	16
8	Valle Egues	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
9	Avance	10	4	2	4	15	11	14
10	Aoiz	10	3	5	2	12	9	14
11	UDC Txantrea	10	3	4	3	12	13	13
12	Cirbonero	10	3	3	4	10	14	12
13	CD Cantolagua	10	4	0	6	8	21	12
14	CD Beti Onak	10	2	5	3	12	14	11
15	Huarte	10	1	5	4	7	15	8
16	CD Pamplona	10	1	4	5	7	15	7
17	CD Cortes	10	1	3	6	5	19	6
18	Bidezarra	10	0	5	5	7	17	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Pamplona	Avance
CD Beti Onak	0-1 L	1-1 D
Valle Egues	2-4 L	1-2 L
UDC Txantrea	1-5 L	4-0 W
CF Gazte Berriak	1-0 W	2-1 W
Huarte	0-0 D	0-1 L
Doneztebe FT	1-1 D	1-3 L
Aoiz	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Avance (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Pamplona

DLDDDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
31/10	Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	2-4	5	3	L
24/10	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	1-1	1-5	3	2	L
18/10	CF Gazte Berriak Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
10/10	Izarra Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
03/10	Huarte Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
26/09	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D

Avance

WDDLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	CF Gazte Berriak Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/10	Huarte Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
17/10	Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	Mutilvera Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
19/09	Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
12/09	CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Pamplona vs Avance?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Avance win (36%). Probabilities: CD Pamplona 33%, draw 32%, Avance 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Pamplona vs Avance?

The model expects 2.23 goals (CD Pamplona 1.08 · Avance 1.15), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Pamplona vs Avance?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.