Football · Chile Segunda · 26/09, 21:00

Prediction: Santiago City vs Brujas de Salamanca

Team pages: Santiago City · Brujas de Salamanca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Santiago City1.21

Brujas de Salamanca1.06

1X2

39% 29% 32%

Santiago City Draw Brujas de Salamanca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Santiago City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLWDWW

Brujas de Salamanca 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Santiago City 2–2–1 Brujas de Salamanca (5 last)

Brujas de Salamanca0-0Santiago City
Santiago City1-1Brujas de Salamanca
Brujas de Salamanca2-0Santiago City
Santiago City3-2Brujas de Salamanca
Santiago City8-2Brujas de Salamanca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago City 1530 · Brujas de Salamanca 1536

	Santiago City	Draw	Brujas de Salamanca
Our model	38%	31%	31%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santiago City: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santiago City	Brujas de Salamanca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.7	5 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.36 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.78

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:27 +13’	2.05	3.30	3.10
21:25 +5’	2.10▲	3.30	3.00▼
08:47 +5’	2.25▲	3.30	2.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:11 +18’	2.35	3.15	2.77
08:06 +47’	2.36▲	3.11▼	2.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago City 2–2–1 Brujas de Salamanca

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Chile Segunda	Brujas de Salamanca	0-0 HT 0-0	Santiago City
04/04/26 Chile Segunda	Santiago City	1-1 HT 0-1	Brujas de Salamanca
09/11/25 Chile Segunda	Brujas de Salamanca	2-0 HT 1-0	Santiago City
05/07/25 Chile Segunda	Santiago City	3-2 HT 0-1	Brujas de Salamanca
26/05/23 Chile Tercera	Santiago City	8-2 HT 4-0	Brujas de Salamanca

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santiago City	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
2	Deportes Linares	5	3	1	1	6	5	10
3	Concon National	6	3	0	3	7	8	9
4	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	5	2	2	1	9	5	8
5	Brujas de Salamanca	4	2	0	2	3	6	6
6	Provincial Osorno	5	1	1	3	5	7	4
7	Colchagua CD	5	0	1	4	0	4	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santiago City	Brujas de Salamanca
Provincial Osorno	2-1 W	2-1 W
Concon National	3-0 W	0-2 L
Colchagua CD	1-0 W	1-0 W
Provincial Ovalle	3-2 W	1-1 D
CD Trasandino de Los Andes	1-5 L	0-3 L
AC Colina	1-0 W	2-1 W
Real Juventud San Joaquin	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Santiago City (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago City

DDWLWLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
05/09	Concon National Chile Segunda	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
22/08	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
09/08	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
11/07	Concon National Chile Segunda	2-1	2-4	2	3	L
26/06	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-2	3-2	8	7	W
20/06	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-3	1-5	8	4	L
06/06	AC Colina Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
31/05	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
25/05	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-1	2-2	2	4	D

Brujas de Salamanca

DDWDWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
06/09	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	2-1	12	6	W
02/09	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/08	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
11/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
05/07	Concon National Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/06	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
21/06	AC Colina Chile Segunda	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
31/05	Santiago City Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
25/05	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago City vs Brujas de Salamanca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago City win (39%). Probabilities: Santiago City 39%, draw 29%, Brujas de Salamanca 32%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago City vs Brujas de Salamanca?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Santiago City 1.21 · Brujas de Salamanca 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago City vs Brujas de Salamanca?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.