Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 24/09, 18:30

Prediction: Hapoel Ashkelon vs Hapoel Yeruham

Team pages: Hapoel Ashkelon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Hapoel Ashkelon2.64
Hapoel Yeruham0.67
1X2
79% 14% 7%
Hapoel Ashkelon Draw Hapoel Yeruham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Ashkelon 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWLWWD
Hapoel Yeruham 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Hapoel Ashkelon 1–1–1 Hapoel Yeruham (3 last)
  • Hapoel Yeruham0-1Hapoel Ashkelon
  • Hapoel Ashkelon1-1Hapoel Yeruham
  • Hapoel Ashkelon1-2Hapoel Yeruham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ashkelon 1555 · Hapoel Yeruham 1394
Hapoel AshkelonDrawHapoel Yeruham
Our model79%15%6%
Market79%14%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Ashkelon (rating 1555 vs 1394).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hapoel AshkelonHapoel Yeruham
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.60.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.40.5 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 5.81.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.34.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ashkelon 111 Hapoel Yeruham

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
Israel Liga Bet South
Hapoel Yeruham0-1
HT 0-0
Hapoel Ashkelon
30/10/25
Israel Liga Bet South
Hapoel Ashkelon1-1
HT 1-1
Hapoel Yeruham
08/01/24
Israel Liga Bet South
Hapoel Ashkelon1-2
HT 1-1
Hapoel Yeruham

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHapoel AshkelonHapoel Yeruham
Maccabi Ironi Netivot 1-1 D 0-3 L
Sderot 0-1 L 0-6 L
FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod 1-0 W 1-2 L
MS Shikun Hamizrah 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ashkelon (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ashkelon

DLWWWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Maccabi Ironi Netivot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-1 1-1 511 D
27/02 Hapoel Yeruham
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 1-0 66 W
19/02 Hapoel Segev Shalom
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 2-0 34 W
12/02 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-1 27 L
05/02 Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Israel Liga Bet South
4-0 4-0 44 W
02/01 SC Ramla
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 2-0 84 W
22/12 Maccabi Beer Sheva
Israel Liga Bet South
5-0 7-1 111 W
11/12 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/11 MS Shikun Hamizrah
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 1-2 108 L
30/10 Hapoel Yeruham
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-1 73 D

Hapoel Yeruham

DWLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/02 Hapoel Ashkelon
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-1 46 L
20/02 MS Shikun Hamizrah
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-2 15 L
13/02 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-4 51 L
30/01 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-6 04 L
15/01 Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 0-2 33 L
25/12 FC Arad
Israel Liga Bet South
1-2 1-4 57 L
12/12 Maccabi Ironi Netivot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-3 63 L
29/11 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-2 311 L
06/11 Maccabi Beer Yaakov
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 3-1 48 W
30/10 Hapoel Ashkelon
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-1 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Hapoel Yeruham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Ashkelon win (79%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ashkelon 79%, draw 14%, Hapoel Yeruham 7%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Hapoel Yeruham?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Hapoel Ashkelon 2.64 · Hapoel Yeruham 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Hapoel Yeruham?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.