Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 24/09, 19:30
Prediction: Hapoel Hod Hasharon vs Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Hapoel Hod Hasharon1.98
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa1.34
1X2
Hapoel Hod Hasharon
Draw
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Hod Hasharon
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Hod Hasharon
2–2–2
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
(6 last)
- Hapoel Hod Hasharon1-1Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
- Hapoel Hod Hasharon1-3Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
- Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa4-2Hapoel Hod Hasharon
- Hapoel Hod Hasharon1-1Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
- Hapoel Hod Hasharon4-1Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
- Hapoel Hod Hasharon1-0Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Hod Hasharon 1547 · Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa 1514
| Hapoel Hod Hasharon | Draw | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Hod Hasharon | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.7 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Hod Hasharon 2–2–2 Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
| 24/01/25 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
| 30/03/24 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Hod Hasharon |
| 26/01/24 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
| 17/03/23 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
| 30/08/22 Israel Cup | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Hod Hasharon | Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Bnei Jaljulia | 8-1 W | 1-4 L |
| AS Holon Mor | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Beitar Petah Tikva | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Ironi Beit Dagan | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Hod Hasharon (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Hod Hasharon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02 | Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 20/02 | MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/02 | Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South |
3-1 | 8-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 06/02 | AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/01 | Beitar Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/01 | Beitar Kfar Saba Israel Liga Bet South |
5-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/01 | Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/01 | MS Hapoel Lod Israel Liga Bet South |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/12 | Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02 | Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 19/02 | Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Israel Liga Bet South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/02 | Beitar Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 28/01 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/01 | Hakoah Amidar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/01 | Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/01 | MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/01 | Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/12 | AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Hod Hasharon vs Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Hod Hasharon win (52%). Probabilities: Hapoel Hod Hasharon 52%, draw 23%, Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa 25%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Hod Hasharon vs Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Hapoel Hod Hasharon 1.98 · Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Hod Hasharon vs Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.