Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 01/10, 19:00

Prediction: Ironi Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Team pages: Ironi Beit Dagan · Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Ironi Beit Dagan1.73

Hapoel Hod Hasharon1.48

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Ironi Beit Dagan Draw Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ironi Beit Dagan 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWWWWW

Hapoel Hod Hasharon 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Ironi Beit Dagan 2–2–2 Hapoel Hod Hasharon (6 last)

Hapoel Hod Hasharon3-3Ironi Beit Dagan
Ironi Beit Dagan1-2Hapoel Hod Hasharon
Hapoel Hod Hasharon1-1Ironi Beit Dagan
Hapoel Hod Hasharon3-2Ironi Beit Dagan
Hapoel Hod Hasharon0-4Ironi Beit Dagan
Ironi Beit Dagan1-0Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ironi Beit Dagan 1539 · Hapoel Hod Hasharon 1530

	Ironi Beit Dagan	Draw	Hapoel Hod Hasharon
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ironi Beit Dagan	Hapoel Hod Hasharon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	3.1 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.5	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +7’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Beit Dagan 2–2–2 Hapoel Hod Hasharon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/12/25 Israel Liga Bet South	Hapoel Hod Hasharon	3-3 HT 1-1	Ironi Beit Dagan
14/01/25 Israel Liga Bet South	Ironi Beit Dagan	1-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Hod Hasharon
30/09/24 Israel Cup	Hapoel Hod Hasharon	1-1 HT 0-0	Ironi Beit Dagan
13/09/24 Israel Liga Bet South	Hapoel Hod Hasharon	3-2 HT 2-2	Ironi Beit Dagan
12/01/24 Israel Liga Bet South	Hapoel Hod Hasharon	0-4 HT 0-0	Ironi Beit Dagan
21/03/23 Israel Liga Bet South	Ironi Beit Dagan	1-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ironi Beit Dagan	Hapoel Hod Hasharon
MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim	2-0 W	2-0 W
Bnei Jaljulia	4-1 W	8-1 W
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa	2-0 W	0-2 L
Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva	1-1 D	2-2 D
AS Holon Mor	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Hod Hasharon (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ironi Beit Dagan

DLDDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
17/09	Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South	3-1	4-1	5	3	W
04/09	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
26/02	Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
20/02	Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	2-0	2-0	11	5	W
12/02	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
06/02	Hakoah Amidar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
30/01	Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
23/01	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South	1-2	1-2	3	11	L
09/01	AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	1-1	7	6	D

Hapoel Hod Hasharon

LLWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
27/02	Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
20/02	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
14/02	Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South	3-1	8-1	11	6	W
06/02	AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
30/01	Hapoel Kiryat Ono Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
23/01	Beitar Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	1-2	9	7	L
16/01	Beitar Kfar Saba Israel Liga Bet South	5-1	6-1	7	7	W
09/01	Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
03/01	MS Hapoel Lod Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	0-4	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ironi Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Hod Hasharon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ironi Beit Dagan win (43%). Probabilities: Ironi Beit Dagan 43%, draw 25%, Hapoel Hod Hasharon 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ironi Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Hod Hasharon?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Ironi Beit Dagan 1.73 · Hapoel Hod Hasharon 1.48), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ironi Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Hod Hasharon?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.