Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 01/10, 19:00

Prediction: AS Holon Mor vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Team pages: AS Holon Mor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

AS Holon Mor1.36

MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim1.4

1X2

36% 27% 37%

AS Holon Mor Draw MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Holon Mor 0-7-3 (W-D-L)

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MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AS Holon Mor 1–2 MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim (3 last)

MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim0-2AS Holon Mor
MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim5-0AS Holon Mor
AS Holon Mor1-4MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Holon Mor 1474 · MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim 1486

	AS Holon Mor	Draw	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Holon Mor	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.9	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:00 +7’	2.50	3.40	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Holon Mor 1–0–2 MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Israel Liga Bet South	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim	0-2 HT 0-0	AS Holon Mor
12/01/18 Israel Liga Bet South	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim	5-0 HT 2-0	AS Holon Mor
19/09/17 Israel Liga Bet South	AS Holon Mor	1-4 HT 0-1	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Holon Mor	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
Hapoel Kiryat Ono	0-0 D	3-1 W
Hapoel Hod Hasharon	0-2 L	0-2 L
Beitar Kfar Saba	1-4 L	1-2 L
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona	1-3 L	0-3 L
MS Hapoel Lod	2-2 D	0-0 D
Ironi Beit Dagan	1-1 D	0-2 L
Beitar Tel Aviv Holon	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Holon Mor

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/02	Beitar Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
13/02	Hapoel Kiryat Ono Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/02	Hapoel Hod Hasharon Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
31/01	Beitar Kfar Saba Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-4	5	4	L
23/01	Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	1-3	2	6	L
16/01	MS Hapoel Lod Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
09/01	Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
02/01	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
26/12	Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
07/09	Maccabi Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	7-2	5	7	W
26/02	Hapoel Kiryat Ono Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
20/02	Hapoel Hod Hasharon Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
12/02	Beitar Kfar Saba Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
05/02	Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona Israel Liga Bet South	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
30/01	MS Hapoel Lod Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
23/01	Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South	2-1	2-1	4	11	W
15/01	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/01	Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Holon Mor vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim win (37%). Probabilities: AS Holon Mor 36%, draw 27%, MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim 37%.

How many goals are expected in AS Holon Mor vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim?

The model expects 2.75 goals (AS Holon Mor 1.36 · MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Holon Mor vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.