Prediction: AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien
- Stade Gabesien2-1AS Ariana
| AS Ariana | Draw | Stade Gabesien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stade Gabesien (rating 1481 vs 1538).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Ariana | Stade Gabesien | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 17/67/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Ariana 0–0–1 Stade Gabesien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 Tunisia League 2 | Stade Gabesien | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AS Ariana |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Ariana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Kasserine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Olympique Medenine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Korba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Redeyef | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | EGS Gafsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Bouchamma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jendouba Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Kairouanaise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kalaa Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique Du Kef | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moknine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Gabesien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ksour Essef | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Ariana | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| EGS Gafsa | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| ES Bouchamma | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| EO Sidi Bouzid | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Jendouba Sport | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| AS Djelma | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stade Gabesien (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Ariana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Moknine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | ES Bouchamma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/02 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/02 | AS Djelma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/01 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Stade Gabesien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | CS Hammam Lif Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Tataouine Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | AS Djelma Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 28/04 | AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | ES Bouchamma Tunisia League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/02 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/02 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Ariana win (35%). Probabilities: AS Ariana 35%, draw 32%, Stade Gabesien 33%.
How many goals are expected in AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien?
The model expects 2.13 goals (AS Ariana 1.09 · Stade Gabesien 1.04), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.