Football · Tunisia League 2 · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Moknine vs CS Redeyef

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Moknine1.34

CS Redeyef0.99

1X2

44% 30% 26%

Moknine Draw CS Redeyef

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Moknine 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDWWLD

CS Redeyef 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDLDWL

Head-to-head

Moknine 2–0 CS Redeyef (2 last)

CS Redeyef2-3Moknine
Moknine2-0CS Redeyef

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moknine 1509 · CS Redeyef 1485

	Moknine	Draw	CS Redeyef
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	44%	30%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Moknine: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Moknine	CS Redeyef
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.7	0 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	6 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +104’	2.05	3.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Moknine 2–0–0 CS Redeyef

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Tunisia League 2	CS Redeyef	2-3	Moknine
23/11/25 Tunisia League 2	Moknine	2-0 HT 1-0	CS Redeyef

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Ariana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AS Kasserine	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Olympique Medenine	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Korba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Redeyef	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	EGS Gafsa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ES Bouchamma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jendouba Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Kairouanaise	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kalaa Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olympique Du Kef	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Moknine	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Gabesien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Ksour Essef	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Moknine	CS Redeyef
AS Ariana	1-1 D	2-2 D
Jendouba Sport	0-1 L	0-3 L
US Ksour Essef	2-1 W	2-1 W
Progres Sakiet Eddaier	1-1 D	0-5 L
AS Kasserine	1-1 D	1-0 W
Kalaa Sport	2-0 W	2-2 D
EGS Gafsa	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Moknine (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moknine

LLWDDDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/05	AS Ariana Tunisia League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/04	US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/04	AS Djelma Tunisia League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
27/02	AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/02	Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
14/02	CS Korba Tunisia League 2	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
31/01	EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2	–	0-3	–	–	L

CS Redeyef

WLDDWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/05	Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 2	–	0-5	–	–	L
02/05	AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/04	Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
19/04	Moknine Tunisia League 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/04	EGS Gafsa Tunisia League 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
04/04	ES Bouchamma Tunisia League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/03	EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
27/02	AS Ariana Tunisia League 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
21/02	Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/02	US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moknine vs CS Redeyef?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Moknine win (44%). Probabilities: Moknine 44%, draw 30%, CS Redeyef 26%.

How many goals are expected in Moknine vs CS Redeyef?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Moknine 1.34 · CS Redeyef 0.99), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Moknine vs CS Redeyef?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.