Football · Tunisia League 2 · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
SC Ben Arous1.21
EM Mahdia0.6
1X2
51% 31% 18%
SC Ben Arous Draw EM Mahdia
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Ben Arous 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLLDLW
EM Mahdia 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDDDDLLL
Head-to-head
SC Ben Arous 1–2–1 EM Mahdia (4 last)
  • EM Mahdia1-1SC Ben Arous
  • SC Ben Arous2-2EM Mahdia
  • SC Ben Arous2-0EM Mahdia
  • EM Mahdia2-0SC Ben Arous
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Ben Arous 1491 · EM Mahdia 1446
SC Ben ArousDrawEM Mahdia
Our model50%33%17%
Market51%30%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Ben Arous (rating 1491 vs 1446).
  • High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC Ben ArousEM Mahdia
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.60.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)5 / 111.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 14.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ben Arous 1–2–1 EM Mahdia

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Tunisia League 2
EM Mahdia1-1
HT 0-0
SC Ben Arous
04/10/25
Tunisia League 2
SC Ben Arous2-2EM Mahdia
20/05/23
Tunisia League 2
SC Ben Arous2-0EM Mahdia
04/01/23
Tunisia League 2
EM Mahdia2-0
HT 0-0
SC Ben Arous

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AS Agareb 000 000
1 AS Gabes 000 000
1 AS Megrine 000 000
1 AS Soliman 000 000
1 BS Bouhajla 000 000
1 CS Chebba 000 000
1 CS Msaken 000 000
1 EM Mahdia 000 000
1 ES Beni-Khalled 000 000
1 OC Kerkennah 000 000
1 Sfax Railways 000 000
1 SC Ben Arous 000 000
1 Stade Soussienf 000 000
1 Tataouine 000 000

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSC Ben ArousEM Mahdia
SA Menzel Bourguiba 6-0 W 0-1 L
Tataouine 0-1 L 0-1 L
AS Megrine 1-1 D 0-0 D
CS Chebba 0-1 L 1-1 D
AS Agareb 0-1 L 0-0 D
Sfax Railways 2-0 W 0-0 D
CS Msaken 0-1 L 0-2 L
US Bousalem 0-0 D 1-0 W
BS Bouhajla 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Ben Arous (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Ben Arous

DWDLWLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/05 SA Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisia League 2
– 6-0 –– W
01/05 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/04 AS Megrine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
18/04 CS Chebba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
13/04 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 118 L
04/04 Sfax Railways
Tunisia League 2
– 2-0 –– W
28/03 CS Msaken
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 228 L
28/02 US Bousalem
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
22/02 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 75 W
16/02 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-1 45 D

EM Mahdia

DWLDDDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/05 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
– 1-3 –– L
01/05 SA Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/04 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
18/04 AS Megrine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 25 D
13/04 CS Chebba
Tunisia League 2
0-1 1-1 45 D
05/04 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
29/03 Sfax Railways
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/02 CS Msaken
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
22/02 US Bousalem
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 96 W
16/02 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Ben Arous win (51%). Probabilities: SC Ben Arous 51%, draw 31%, EM Mahdia 18%.

How many goals are expected in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?

The model expects 1.81 goals (SC Ben Arous 1.21 · EM Mahdia 0.6), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.