Prediction: SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia
- EM Mahdia1-1SC Ben Arous
- SC Ben Arous2-2EM Mahdia
- SC Ben Arous2-0EM Mahdia
- EM Mahdia2-0SC Ben Arous
| SC Ben Arous | Draw | EM Mahdia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Ben Arous (rating 1491 vs 1446).
- High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Ben Arous | EM Mahdia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 11 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ben Arous 1–2–1 EM Mahdia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Tunisia League 2 | EM Mahdia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SC Ben Arous |
| 04/10/25 Tunisia League 2 | SC Ben Arous | 2-2 | EM Mahdia |
| 20/05/23 Tunisia League 2 | SC Ben Arous | 2-0 | EM Mahdia |
| 04/01/23 Tunisia League 2 | EM Mahdia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SC Ben Arous |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Agareb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Gabes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Megrine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Soliman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BS Bouhajla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Chebba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Msaken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | EM Mahdia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Beni-Khalled | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OC Kerkennah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sfax Railways | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Ben Arous | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Soussienf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tataouine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Ben Arous | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| SA Menzel Bourguiba | 6-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tataouine | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| AS Megrine | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CS Chebba | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| AS Agareb | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sfax Railways | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CS Msaken | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| US Bousalem | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| BS Bouhajla | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 5 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Ben Arous (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Ben Arous
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05 | SA Menzel Bourguiba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Tataouine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | AS Megrine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | CS Chebba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/04 | AS Agareb Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 04/04 | Sfax Railways Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | CS Msaken Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 22 | 8 | L |
| 28/02 | US Bousalem Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/02 | BS Bouhajla Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/02 | ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
EM Mahdia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05 | OC Kerkennah Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | SA Menzel Bourguiba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Tataouine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | AS Megrine Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | CS Chebba Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | AS Agareb Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Sfax Railways Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | CS Msaken Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | US Bousalem Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/02 | BS Bouhajla Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Ben Arous win (51%). Probabilities: SC Ben Arous 51%, draw 31%, EM Mahdia 18%.
How many goals are expected in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
The model expects 1.81 goals (SC Ben Arous 1.21 · EM Mahdia 0.6), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

