Football · Argentina Torneo A · 04/10, 21:00
Prediction: San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Team pages: San Martin Formosa · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
San Martin Formosa1.8
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas0.63
1X2
San Martin Formosa
Draw
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin Formosa
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin Formosa
4–0
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
(4 last)
- Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas0-1San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa3-1Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
- Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas0-1San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa2-0Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin Formosa 1587 · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1481
| San Martin Formosa | Draw | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | 64% | 26% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin Formosa (rating 1587 vs 1481).
- H2H favours San Martin Formosa: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin Formosa | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin Formosa 4–0–0 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 16/11/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas |
| 08/11/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin Formosa |
| 01/09/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CDA Monte Maiz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/07 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin Formosa win (64%). Probabilities: San Martin Formosa 64%, draw 25%, Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 11%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
The model expects 2.42 goals (San Martin Formosa 1.8 · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 0.63), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.