Football · Nigeria Premier League · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United

Team pages: Shooting Stars · Nasarawa United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Shooting Stars1.64

Nasarawa United0.77

1X2

57% 27% 16%

Shooting Stars Draw Nasarawa United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Shooting Stars 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWLWLL

Nasarawa United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Shooting Stars 3–1–2 Nasarawa United (6 last)

Shooting Stars3-2Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United1-0Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars2-0Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United1-1Shooting Stars
Nasarawa United1-0Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars2-0Nasarawa United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shooting Stars 1493 · Nasarawa United 1505

	Shooting Stars	Draw	Nasarawa United
Our model	57%	27%	16%
Market	57%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shooting Stars: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shooting Stars	Nasarawa United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	3.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.40

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +8’	1.57	3.40	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shooting Stars 3–1–2 Nasarawa United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	3-2 HT 2-1	Nasarawa United
08/12/25 Nigeria Premier League	Nasarawa United	1-0 HT 0-0	Shooting Stars
29/01/25 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	2-0 HT 1-0	Nasarawa United
08/09/24 Nigeria Premier League	Nasarawa United	1-1	Shooting Stars
29/04/23 Nigeria Premier League	Nasarawa United	1-0 HT 1-0	Shooting Stars
05/02/23 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	2-0 HT 2-0	Nasarawa United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	6	4	1	1	9	6	13
2	Rivers United	6	3	3	0	11	2	12
3	Barau FC	6	3	3	0	9	3	12
4	Plateau United	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
5	Doma United	6	3	1	2	9	8	10
6	Kano Pillars	5	2	3	0	10	6	9
7	Ikorodu City FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
8	Bendel Insurance	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
9	Sporting Lagos	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
10	Abia Warriors	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
11	Katsina Utd	6	2	2	2	5	8	8
12	Kwara United	6	2	1	3	7	6	7
13	Ranchers Bees	6	2	1	3	8	8	7
14	Nasarawa United	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
15	Warri Wolves FC	6	2	1	3	3	5	7
16	Shooting Stars	5	2	0	3	7	9	6
17	Niger Tornadoes	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
18	Kun Khalifat FC	6	1	2	3	5	13	5
19	Enyimba	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
20	Inter Lagos	6	1	1	4	3	9	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shooting Stars	Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves FC	0-1 L	3-0 W
Plateau United	1-3 L	1-0 W
Niger Tornadoes	0-1 L	1-0 W
Barau FC	1-0 W	1-3 L
Kwara United	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nasarawa United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shooting Stars

DWWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	0-3	2-4	6	4	L
27/09	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/09	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
28/08	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/05	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
19/04	El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/04	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

Nasarawa United

WLWLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
06/09	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
30/08	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	–	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	–	0-3	–	–	L
10/05	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/05	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
19/04	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shooting Stars win (57%). Probabilities: Shooting Stars 57%, draw 27%, Nasarawa United 16%.

How many goals are expected in Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Shooting Stars 1.64 · Nasarawa United 0.77), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.