Football · Nigeria Premier League · 04/10, 17:00
Prediction: Rivers United vs Ikorodu City FC
Team pages: Rivers United · Ikorodu City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Rivers United1.79
Ikorodu City FC0.66
1X2
Rivers United
Draw
Ikorodu City FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rivers United
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Ikorodu City FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rivers United
1–1–2
Ikorodu City FC
(4 last)
- Ikorodu City FC1-0Rivers United
- Rivers United0-0Ikorodu City FC
- Rivers United1-0Ikorodu City FC
- Ikorodu City FC2-0Rivers United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rivers United 1562 · Ikorodu City FC 1494
| Rivers United | Draw | Ikorodu City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 64% | 24% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rivers United (rating 1562 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Ikorodu City FC: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rivers United | Ikorodu City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/25/0% | 50/33/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 9.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rivers United 1–1–2 Ikorodu City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rivers United |
| 29/10/25 Nigeria Premier League | Rivers United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 23/03/25 Nigeria Premier League | Rivers United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ikorodu City FC |
| 03/11/24 Nigeria Premier League | Ikorodu City FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rivers United |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Barau FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Doma United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Ikorodu City FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Bendel Insurance | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Sporting Lagos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Abia Warriors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Katsina Utd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Ranchers Bees | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Warri Wolves FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Shooting Stars | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | Niger Tornadoes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 5 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rivers United | Ikorodu City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Katsina Utd | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Ranchers Bees | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Wikki Tourists | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Abia Warriors | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rivers United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/09 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Ikorodu City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/05 | Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rivers United vs Ikorodu City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rivers United win (64%). Probabilities: Rivers United 64%, draw 24%, Ikorodu City FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Rivers United vs Ikorodu City FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Rivers United 1.79 · Ikorodu City FC 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rivers United vs Ikorodu City FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.