Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 09/10, 18:30

Prediction: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel

Team pages: Eintracht Braunschweig · Holstein Kiel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Eintracht Braunschweig1.46

Holstein Kiel1.52

1X2

35% 26% 38%

Eintracht Braunschweig Draw Holstein Kiel

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Eintracht Braunschweig 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Holstein Kiel 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1–4 Holstein Kiel (6 last)

Holstein Kiel2-0Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig1-1Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig1-4Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel1-2Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig0-1Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Braunschweig2-3Holstein Kiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eintracht Braunschweig 1425 · Holstein Kiel 1488

	Eintracht Braunschweig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	36%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holstein Kiel (rating 1425 vs 1488).
H2H favours Holstein Kiel: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eintracht Braunschweig	Holstein Kiel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.77 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.74
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:30 +11’	2.60	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +386’	2.77	3.74	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1–4 Holstein Kiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Holstein Kiel	2-0 HT 1-0	Eintracht Braunschweig
07/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-1 HT 1-1	Holstein Kiel
19/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-4 HT 0-0	Holstein Kiel
19/01/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Holstein Kiel	1-2 HT 1-1	Eintracht Braunschweig
30/07/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	0-1 HT 0-0	Holstein Kiel
17/02/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	2-3 HT 0-2	Holstein Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17	7	18
2	Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14	12	13
4	Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	11	9	10
7	Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14	13	8
8	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	7
9	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
11	VfL Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	9	12	7
12	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9	11	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	12	13	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7	10	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
18	Darmstadt	6	1	1	4	5	13	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eintracht Braunschweig	Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden	2-2 D	1-2 L
VfL Osnabruck	1-3 L	1-1 D
Hertha Berlin	3-5 L	1-0 W
Magdeburg	6-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eintracht Braunschweig

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
12/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
06/09	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-3	5	6	L
28/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	3-5	5	6	L
14/08	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	4-0	6-1	5	6	W
17/05	Schalke Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
09/05	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
02/05	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
24/04	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

Holstein Kiel

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
13/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
05/09	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	10	7	D
30/08	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
14/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	2-2	5	6	D
08/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
17/05	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
09/05	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-3	10	4	L
02/05	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
25/04	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Holstein Kiel win (38%). Probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 35%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 38%.

How many goals are expected in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Eintracht Braunschweig 1.46 · Holstein Kiel 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.