Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 11/10, 13:30

Prediction: Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld

Team pages: Bochum · Arminia Bielefeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Bochum1.47

Arminia Bielefeld1.29

1X2

41% 27% 33%

Bochum Draw Arminia Bielefeld

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bochum 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWLWDL

Arminia Bielefeld 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Bochum 2–3–1 Arminia Bielefeld (6 last)

Arminia Bielefeld1-1Bochum
Bochum1-0Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld2-2Bochum
Bochum2-1Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld2-0Bochum
Bochum1-1Arminia Bielefeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bochum 1525 · Arminia Bielefeld 1511

	Bochum	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bochum: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.51
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.96 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +12’	2.25	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +635’	2.35	3.51	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bochum 2–3–1 Arminia Bielefeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Arminia Bielefeld	1-1 HT 1-0	Bochum
06/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	1-0 HT 0-0	Arminia Bielefeld
12/08/23 Germany DFB Pokal	Arminia Bielefeld	2-2 HT 2-1	Bochum
06/05/22 Germany Bundesliga I	Bochum	2-1 HT 1-1	Arminia Bielefeld
14/12/21 Germany Bundesliga I	Arminia Bielefeld	2-0 HT 0-0	Bochum
09/10/20 Europe Friendlies	Bochum	1-1 HT 0-0	Arminia Bielefeld

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17	7	18
2	Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14	12	13
4	Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	11	9	10
7	Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14	13	8
8	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	7
9	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
11	VfL Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	9	12	7
12	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9	11	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	12	13	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7	10	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
18	Darmstadt	6	1	1	4	5	13	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha Berlin	0-1 L	6-1 W
Karlsruher SC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bochum

WDDWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-2	12	5	L
12/09	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
05/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
28/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
07/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
17/05	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
09/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
26/04	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	1	W

Arminia Bielefeld

WDLWLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	2-2	5	7	D
11/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
29/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-3	1-4	8	2	L
16/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
17/05	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	6-1	9	3	W
08/05	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
02/05	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
25/04	SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II	3-1	3-2	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bochum win (41%). Probabilities: Bochum 41%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 33%.

How many goals are expected in Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Bochum 1.47 · Arminia Bielefeld 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.